Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Houston Texans face Green Bay Packers in Week 17 at Lambeau Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Houston Texans enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.0 points scored and 23.8 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Green Bay Packers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.2 points scored and 20.8 allowed. Their current streak is 3 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Houston Texans’s 24.0 points per game against a Green Bay Packers defense allowing 20.8. In the other direction, Green Bay Packers average 21.2 against Houston Texans’s 23.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Houston Texans have injury designations to monitor: Reed Blankenship (S) — Questionable; David Montgomery (RB) — Questionable; Jalen Pitre (S) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Green Bay Packers have injury designations to monitor: Aaron Banks (G) — Questionable; Benjamin St-Juste (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Green Bay Packers are Home field / environment; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Houston Texans are Early-down efficiency; Starting QB efficiency.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Houston Texans 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Green Bay Packers 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
GBH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
GB home field | GB 78 days / HOU 78 days
GBH Record quality +0.67 Strong
GB 4-2 · HOU 2-4
HOUA Early-down efficiency +0.63 Moderate
40% / 44% allowed | 46% / 44% allowed
GBH Pass defense +0.45 Moderate
GB 5.1 net Y/A / 64.5% CMP / 73.9 RATE | HOU 6.3 / 65.6% / 96.6
GBH Explosive-play differential +0.44 Moderate
8% / 4% allowed | 7% / 7% allowed
HOUA Starting QB efficiency +0.44 Weak
Jordan Love (2026) 59.7% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.9% TD / 1.8% INT / 91.8 RATE · C.J. Stroud (2026) 65.3% CMP / 7.8 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 0.5% INT / 100.9 RATE
HOUA Run-game matchup +0.30 Weak
GB 2.9 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | HOU 3.6 / 3.4 | PBP 69% stuff avoided | 79% stuff avoided
HOUA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.22 Weak
50% / 75% allowed | 57% / 63% allowed
GBH Recent form +0.15 Weak
GB W3 · HOU W2
HOUA Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
GB OFF 35.5% / DEF 43.4% | HOU 39.0% / 40.8% | PBP 60%/36%/21% | 65%/22%/31%
HOUA Game-script tendencies +0.10 Weak
57% neutral pass / 59 plays | 60% / 60
GBH Special teams efficiency +0.08 Weak
GB FG 76.9% / NET PUNT 47.3 | HOU 92.9% / 43.7
HOUA OL vs DL matchup +0.07 Weak
GB OL sack 5.4% / DEF sack 6.6% | HOU 6.0% / 7.6%
GBH Turnover differential +0.07 Weak
GB 1.2 GIVE / 1.8 TAKE | HOU 0.5 / 1.0
HOUA Schedule strength +0.03 Weak
GB 47% opp wins · HOU 49%
GBH Raw scoring differential +0.01 Weak
GB 21.2 PPG · HOU 24.0 PPG | GB 20.8 PA/G · HOU 23.8 PA/G
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.