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Passing Yards
305.5
64 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+8
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+7
Opponent Position Matchup
+3
Game Script
+2
Prop Line vs Projection
+7
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+9
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+4
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+9
Passing Yards per Attempt
+5
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+2
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+2
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+6
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+7
Score = 64
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.