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Receptions
2.5
60 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+8
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+10
Confirmed Role
+13
Fantasy Market Conviction
+2
Game Script
+6
Prop Line vs Projection
+3
Hit Rate
+12
Recent Form
+5
Season Average vs. Line
+4
Consistency
+3
Target Share
+11
Red-zone Target Share
+9
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+5
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+7
Score = 60
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.