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Receptions
6.5
75 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+8
Confirmed Role
+13
Fantasy Market Conviction
+5
Game Script
+1
Prop Line vs Projection
+6
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+12
Season Average vs. Line
+10
Consistency
+5
Target Share
+12
Red-zone Target Share
+9
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+6
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+7
Score = 75
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.