NFL Matchup Intelligence
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks
September 9, 2026 Β· 8:20 PM ET Β· Lumen Field
NE 2-2
Β·
SEA 3-1
SportsFBI Model
βοΈ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SEAH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SEA home field | SEA 249 days / NE 248 days
NEA Starting QB efficiency +0.88 Moderate
Sam Darnold (2025) 67.7% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.9% INT / 99.1 RATE Β· Drake Maye (2025) 72.0% CMP / 8.9 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 1.6% INT / 113.5 RATE
SEAH OL vs DL matchup +0.39 Weak
SEA OL sack 4.8% / DEF sack 8.1% | NE 7.5% / 6.0%
SEAH Pass defense +0.24 Weak
SEA 4.3 net Y/A / 62.9% CMP / 72.1 RATE | NE 5.7 / 65.1% / 86.8
SEAH Run-game matchup +0.19 Weak
SEA 3.9 rush Y/A / 3.6 allowed | NE 3.9 / 4.4
SEAH Raw scoring differential +0.17 Weak
SEA 26.3 PPG Β· NE 16.3 PPG | SEA 18.3 PA/G Β· NE 19.3 PA/G
SEAH Turnover differential +0.14 Weak
SEA 1.3 GIVE / 2.0 TAKE | NE 2.5 / 1.3
SEAH Special teams efficiency +0.11 Weak
SEA FG 100.0% / NET PUNT 44.0 | NE 71.4% / 45.0
SEAH Third-down efficiency +0.05 Weak
SEA OFF 31.1% / DEF 28.6% | NE 34.6% / 38.3%
Betting Lines DraftKings
π Key Suspects
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.