Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Philadelphia Eagles face Dallas Cowboys in Week 12 at AT&T Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
Dallas Cowboys enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.2 points scored and 26.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Philadelphia Eagles’s 17.7 points per game against a Dallas Cowboys defense allowing 26.5. In the other direction, Dallas Cowboys average 25.2 against Philadelphia Eagles’s 22.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Dallas Cowboys have injury designations to monitor: DeMarvion Overshown (LB) — Questionable; KaVontae Turpin (WR) — Questionable; Dee Winters (LB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Dallas Cowboys are Home field / environment; Early-down efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Pass defense; Explosive-play differential.
The current model leans toward DAL at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Dallas Cowboys 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
DALH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
DAL home field | DAL 39 days / PHI 39 days
DALH Early-down efficiency +0.77 Moderate
49% / 47% allowed | 37% / 42% allowed
DALH OL vs DL matchup +0.57 Moderate
DAL OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | PHI 7.4% / 3.6%
PHIA Pass defense +0.57 Moderate
DAL 7.4 net Y/A / 68.5% CMP / 110.2 RATE | PHI 6.5 / 60.4% / 88.2
DALH Recent form +0.30 Moderate
DAL L2 · PHI L4
PHIA Explosive-play differential +0.28 Weak
5% / 8% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
PHIA Run-game matchup +0.27 Weak
DAL 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.7 allowed | PHI 3.7 / 4.0 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 73% stuff avoided
PHIA Third-down efficiency +0.17 Weak
DAL OFF 47.2% / DEF 54.7% | PHI 37.3% / 38.9% | PBP 80%/44%/30% | 47%/61%/27%
DALH Starting QB efficiency +0.13 Weak
Dak Prescott (2026) 66.3% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 2.0% INT / 90.1 RATE · Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE
DALH Raw scoring differential +0.10 Weak
DAL 25.2 PPG · PHI 17.7 PPG | DAL 26.5 PA/G · PHI 22.8 PA/G
PHIA Special teams efficiency +0.10 Weak
DAL FG 75.0% / NET PUNT 44.1 | PHI 100.0% / 44.1
PHIA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.05 Weak
77% / 71% allowed | 63% / 54% allowed
PHIA Turnover differential +0.04 Weak
DAL 1.2 GIVE / 0.5 TAKE | PHI 0.8 / 0.5
DALH Game-script tendencies +0.03 Weak
62% neutral pass / 60 plays | 56% / 55
PHIA Schedule strength +0.01 Weak
DAL 44% opp wins · PHI 45%
📄 More NFL Games — Thursday, November 26, 2026
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