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Passing TDs
2
59 · MILESTONE
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+9
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+6
Opponent Position Matchup
+3
Game Script
+4
Prop Line vs Projection
+7
Hit Rate
+12
Recent Form
+9
Season Average vs. Line
+5
Consistency
+3
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+11
Passing Yards per Attempt
+4
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+2
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+3
Red-zone Pass Attempts per Game
+3
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+6
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+3
Score = 59
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.