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Rushing Yards
47.5
76 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+6
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+7
Confirmed Role
+20
Fantasy Market Conviction
+10
Opponent Position Matchup
+2
Game Script
+9
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+10
Season Average vs. Line
+9
Consistency
+5
Rush Attempt Share
+13
Recent Carry Volume
+9
Red-zone Carry Share
+5
Opponent Rush Stuff Rate
+3
Score = 76
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.