NFL Final Intelligence
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams β Recap
October 18, 2026 Β· SoFi Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Arizona Cardinals pulled off an 18-16 upset victory over the Los Angeles Rams, relying on the precision kicking of Chad Ryland to secure the narrow win. Ryland connected on all six of his field goal attempts, including the decisive kick in the game's final minutes. The Rams had entered the contest as heavy favorites, a sentiment echoed by SportsFBI's proprietary model, but struggled to translate strong offensive performances into sustained scoring.
The low-scoring affair began with both teams exchanging field goals in the first quarter, with Blake Grupe putting the Rams on the board first before Ryland tied it for Arizona. Ryland then gave the Cardinals a brief lead early in the second quarter before Matthew Stafford found Blake Corum for a 15-yard touchdown, though the Rams' two-point conversion attempt failed. Not to be outdone, Ryland drilled another field goal to knot the score at 9 heading into halftime, setting the stage for a tight second half.
Arizona continued to lean on its kicker in the third quarter, with Ryland connecting from 38 yards to put the Cardinals ahead once more. His fifth field goal early in the fourth quarter extended Arizona's advantage to six points. Los Angeles mounted a late rally, as Stafford connected with Colby Parkinson for a 6-yard touchdown pass, putting the Rams ahead by one with the ensuing extra point. However, the Cardinals offense responded, moving into position for Ryland to hit his sixth field goal of the game from 43 yards out, securing the lead for good. Running back Bam Knight played a crucial role in grinding out yardage for Arizona, providing vital offensive output with 80 yards on 15 carries to set up many of Ryland's scoring opportunities.
Ultimately, the Cardinals' methodical approach and Ryland's consistent accuracy proved to be the difference, allowing them to overcome a favored opponent despite Los Angeles getting efficient passing production from Matthew Stafford. The win moves Arizona to a 2-4 record on the season, matching the 2-4 mark of the Rams.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Los Angeles Rams (-700, 84% implied) over the Arizona Cardinals. Final: the Arizona Cardinals won 18β16, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Los Angeles Rams (72% confidence). Final: the Arizona Cardinals won 18β16, missing the call.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
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