NFL Final Intelligence

PIT 4-2
26 – 19
FINAL
TB 1-5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers β€” Recap

October 18, 2026  Β· Raymond James Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Pittsburgh Steelers engineered a stunning comeback, scoring 16 points in the fourth quarter and eventually pulling out an overtime victory against the favored Tampa Bay Buccaneers. After trailing by 13 points in the third quarter, Pittsburgh steadily chipped away at the lead before securing the win.

Early proceedings saw Tampa Bay dominate, opening a 13-point lead by halftime. Chase McLaughlin kicked a 43-yard field goal in the first quarter, followed by a 2-yard touchdown pass from Jalon Daniels to Emeka Egbuka in the second. McLaughlin added another field goal from 47 yards to extend the Buccaneers' advantage to 13-0 before Chris Boswell finally put Pittsburgh on the board with a 52-yard field goal before the break. McLaughlin then stretched Tampa Bay's lead to 16-3 with a 33-yard field goal in the third quarter, setting the stage for a dramatic finish.

Pittsburgh ignited their rally in the final quarter, turning a double-digit deficit into a hard-fought tie. Connecting with Darnell Washington for a 5-yard touchdown early in the fourth, Aaron Rodgers cut the lead to six. Kicker Chris Boswell became instrumental, nailing field goals from 39 and 58 yards to draw the score even at 16, and then another from 20 yards to give Pittsburgh its first lead of the game. Though Chase McLaughlin answered with a 53-yard field goal for Tampa Bay to force overtime, Pittsburgh's 16 points in the fourth quarter decisively shifted momentum. Rodgers, who finished with 253 yards passing and two touchdowns, orchestrated the winning drive in the extra period.

Pittsburgh's resilience and clutch fourth-quarter performance ultimately powered their improbable comeback victory at home, validating SportsFBI's pregame model which had favored the Steelers despite the market trend. The Pittsburgh Steelers improved to 4-2, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers fell to 1-5.

#Steelers #Buccaneers #NFL #AaronRodgers #ChrisBoswell

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-125, 53% implied) over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Final: the Pittsburgh Steelers won 26–19, pulling off the upset.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Pittsburgh Steelers (57% confidence). Final: the Pittsburgh Steelers won 26–19.

Standouts

Aaron Rodgers
Passing
33/49, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Jaylen Warren
Rushing
14 CAR, 50 YDS
DK Metcalf
Receiving
11 REC, 93 YDS

Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234OT T
PIT 0 3 0 16 7 26
TB 3 10 3 3 0 19

Biggest Quarter

The Pittsburgh Steelers scored 16 points in the 4th quarter β€” the biggest single quarter of the game.

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