NHL Final Intelligence

DAL 4-3-1
3 – 2
FINAL/SO
COL 5-2-1

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche β€” Recap

October 14, 2026  Β· Ball Arena  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Dallas Stars defeated the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in a shootout, overcoming Colorado's 27-22 advantage in shots on goal. The tightly contested matchup saw both teams trade goals in the second and third periods before Dallas secured the victory in the shootout. The result defied SportsFBI's pregame model, which had leaned toward Colorado with a 61% probability. Following the contest, Colorado's record stands at 4-2-0, while Dallas improved to 2-3-1.

After a scoreless opening period, Colorado broke the deadlock in the second when Gabriel Landeskog scored at 4:55, assisted by Nazem Kadri and Sam Malinski, giving the Avalanche a 1-0 lead. Dallas responded later in the period, as Miro Heiskanen found the back of the net at 15:03, with assists from Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley, leveling the score at 1-1 heading into the final frame.

Dallas quickly gained the lead in the third period, with Arttu Hyry scoring at 1:20 to make it 2-1. However, Colorado once again pulled even, as Brock Nelson scored at 8:21, assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Nazem Kadri, knotting the game at 2-2. Despite Casey DeSmith making 25 saves on 27 shots for Dallas and Scott Wedgewood stopping 20 of 22 for Colorado, neither team could break the tie in regulation or the subsequent overtime period, leading to the shootout where Dallas emerged victorious.

#DallasStars #ColoradoAvalanche #NHLRecap #ShootoutWin #Hockey

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Colorado Avalanche (-162, 62% implied) over the Dallas Stars. The underdog won.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Colorado Avalanche (61% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· COL
0 G, 2 A, 2 PTS, 2 SOG Β· 24:16 TOI
Goals Β· COL
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 2 SOG Β· 23:02 TOI
Goaltending Β· DAL
25 saves on 27 shots (.926) Β· W

Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

123OT SO T
DAL 0110 2 3
COL 0110 1 2

Shots on goal: DAL 22, COL 27 Β· The shootout winner is credited with one goal in the final score.

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