Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars — Recap

October 13, 2026 · American Airlines Center · View Preview

📰Game Recap

Colorado secured a narrow 3-2 victory over Dallas, a result consistent with SportsFBI's pregame lean. The Avalanche established an early lead in the first period when Artturi Lehkonen scored at 11:32, assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Josh Manson. Dallas responded late in the period to even the score, as Tyler Seguin, assisted by Jason Robertson and Miro Heiskanen, found the net at 19:06, sending the teams into the first intermission tied 1-1.

The Avalanche took control in the second period, with Martin Necas scoring twice to build a two-goal advantage. Necas' first goal came at 03:05, assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Nicolas Roy, making it 2-1. He extended the lead later in the period, scoring his second goal at 16:14 with assists from Gabriel Landeskog and Devon Toews, pushing the score to 3-1 as the teams headed into the final frame.

Dallas mounted a comeback attempt in the third period. Roope Hintz scored at 03:17, assisted by Tyler Seguin and Miro Heiskanen, narrowing Colorado's lead to 3-2. Despite the early third-period goal and outshooting Colorado 26-25 overall, Dallas could not find an equalizer, and the Avalanche held on for the win. Following the result, Dallas' record stands at 2-2-1, while Colorado improves to 3-2-0.

#ColoradoAvalanche #DallasStars #NHLRecap #NecasDouble #MacKinnonAssists

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Dallas Stars (-115, 53% implied) over the Colorado Avalanche. The underdog won.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Colorado Avalanche (50% confidence). It gave a 28% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.