Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth — Recap

October 13, 2026 · Delta Center · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Utah Mammoth defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4 in a high-scoring contest. Utah established an early lead in the first period when Daniil But scored at 14:55, assisted by Jack McBain and Andrew Peeke, to make it 1-0. SportsFBI's pregame model, which favored Utah at 62%, proved correct in its lean for the game.

Utah exploded in the second period, with Vincent Trocheck scoring a minute in, assisted by Logan Cooley and Dylan Guenther, to make it 2-0. Mikhail Sergachev extended the lead to 3-0 at 4:01, assisted by Barrett Hayton and Kevin Stenlund. Toronto got on the board at 5:16 with Auston Matthews, assisted by John Tavares. Dylan Guenther pushed Utah’s lead back to three goals at 14:17, assisted by Mikhail Sergachev and Kailer Yamamoto. Jack Roslovic responded for Toronto at 16:29, assisted by Kirill Marchenko and Auston Matthews, before MacKenzie Weegar scored at 19:20, assisted by Clayton Keller and Nick Schmaltz, to put Utah ahead 5-2 heading into the final period.

The Maple Leafs mounted a comeback attempt in the third period, but it ultimately fell short. John Tavares, assisted by Anthony Stolarz, narrowed the score to 5-3 at 7:12. Gavin McKenna, with assists from William Nylander and Darren Raddysh, further closed the gap to 5-4 at 11:01. Despite Toronto’s late push, the Mammoth held on for the victory, with shots on goal ending 28-26 in favor of Utah. Following the win, Utah improved its record to 4-2-0, while Toronto moved to 3-2-1.

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How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Utah Mammoth (-162, 62% implied) over the Toronto Maple Leafs.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Utah Mammoth (62% confidence). It gave a 34% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.