NHL Final Intelligence
Detroit Red Wings 5, Florida Panthers 3 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Detroit Red Wings secured a 5-3 victory over the Florida Panthers after a decisive third-period surge. The Red Wings initially took the lead in the first period, with Carter Mazur scoring at 5:26, assisted by Moritz Seider. Florida responded later in the period when Sam Reinhart, assisted by Carter Verhaeghe and Sandis Vilmanis, tied the game 1-1 at 14:19. Detroit held a 29-26 edge in shots on goal for the game, while Daniil Tarasov made 23 saves on 26 shots for Detroit and Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 28 for Florida.
The back-and-forth scoring continued into the second period. Alex DeBrincat, with assists from Viktor Arvidsson and Justin Faulk, put Detroit ahead 2-1 at 1:26. Florida again found an equalizer at 15:25, as Aaron Ekblad scored, assisted by Garnet Hathaway and Lars Eller, to make it 2-2. Justin Faulk, who contributed an assist in the second, would go on to have a goal and an assist for Detroit, matching teammate Michael Brandsegg-Nygård's production. Andrew Copp recorded two assists for the Red Wings. SportsFBI's model had leaned towards a Florida victory at 66% probability.
Detroit broke the deadlock early in the third period with two quick goals. Justin Faulk scored at 2:08, assisted by Andrew Copp and Michael Brandsegg-Nygård, pushing Detroit's lead to 3-2. Less than a minute later, at 2:53, Michael Brandsegg-Nygård extended the lead to 4-2, with assists from Lucas Raymond and Andrew Copp. Florida's Sam Bennett, assisted by Matthew Tkachuk and Brady Tkachuk, narrowed the gap to 4-3 at 16:40, but the Red Wings maintained their advantage for the win. Florida now stands at 8-4-2, while Detroit improved to 6-5-3.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Florida Panthers (-185, 65% implied) over the Detroit Red Wings. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Florida Panthers (66% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 5:26 Carter Mazur (Moritz Seider) DET · wrist shot · DET 1, FLA 0
- P1 14:19 Sam Reinhart (Carter Verhaeghe, Sandis Vilmanis) FLA · wrist shot · DET 1, FLA 1
- P2 1:26 Alex DeBrincat (Viktor Arvidsson, Justin Faulk) DET · wrist shot · DET 2, FLA 1
- P2 15:25 Aaron Ekblad (Garnet Hathaway, Lars Eller) FLA · Shorthanded · backhand shot · DET 2, FLA 2
- P3 2:08 Justin Faulk (Andrew Copp, Michael Brandsegg-Nygård) DET · Power play · slap shot · DET 3, FLA 2
- P3 2:53 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (Lucas Raymond, Andrew Copp) DET · wrist shot · DET 4, FLA 2
- P3 16:40 Sam Bennett (Matthew Tkachuk, Brady Tkachuk) FLA · Power play · tip-in shot · DET 4, FLA 3
- P3 19:57 Emmitt Finnie (Moritz Seider) DET · Empty net · wrist shot · DET 5, FLA 3
Biggest Period
The Detroit Red Wings scored 2 goals in P3 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 6 | 14 | 9 | 29 |
| FLA | 12 | 10 | 4 | 26 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 5Goals13% of attempts
- 24Saved63% of attempts
- 9Missed the net24% of attempts
- 3Goals6% of attempts
- 23Saved45% of attempts
- 25Missed the net49% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Faulk | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:28 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 16:52 |
| Moritz Seider | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27:28 |
| Andrew Copp | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:49 |
| Emmitt Finnie | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:40 |
| Alex DeBrincat | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:39 |
| Carter Mazur | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 07:26 |
| Lucas Raymond | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 |
| Ben Chiarot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20:38 |
| J.T. Compher | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| William Wallinder | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:08 |
| Andreas Englund | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16:43 |
| Michael Rasmussen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 |
| John Leonard | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:17 |
| Anton Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 |
| Sheldon Dries | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:44 |
| Keegan Kolesar | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:06 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | W | 23 | 26 | 88.5 | 3 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ekblad | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:22 |
| Sam Reinhart | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20:13 |
| Sam Bennett | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:59 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20:31 |
| Brady Tkachuk | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 19:20 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18:52 |
| Lars Eller | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13:35 |
| Garnet Hathaway | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 06:25 |
| Seth Jones | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27:23 |
| Niko Mikkola | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:34 |
| Gustav Forsling | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 |
| Anton Lundell | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19:28 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 18:46 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:43 |
| Radko Gudas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12:06 |
| Cole Schwindt | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 04:32 |
| Bokondji Imama | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 04:28 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | L | 24 | 28 | 85.7 | 4 | 57:33 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Copp DET | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Justin Faulk DET | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård DET | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Moritz Seider DET | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Sam Bennett FLA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Brady Tkachuk FLA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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