NHL Final Intelligence
Detroit Red Wings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 — Recap
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Game Recap
Tampa Bay jumped to an early advantage and held off a Detroit comeback attempt to defeat the Red Wings 4-2. Brayden Point sparked the Lightning offense in the first period, scoring twice. Point opened the scoring at 7:54, assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Charle-Edouard D'Astous, and then added another goal at 13:01, with assists from Kucherov and Erik Cernak, giving Tampa Bay a 2-0 lead. John Gibson made 11 saves on 13 shots for the Red Wings in the contest.
Anthony Cirelli extended Tampa Bay's lead to 3-0 at 8:41 of the second period, assisted by Gage Goncalves and J.J. Moser. Daniil Tarasov, who stopped 12 of 13 shots for Detroit, was in net for the Cirelli goal. The Red Wings responded later in the second period, with Lucas Raymond scoring at 10:23 from J.T. Compher, cutting the deficit to 3-1. Andrei Vasilevskiy turned aside 18 of 20 shots for the Lightning.
Detroit continued its push in the third period when J.T. Compher scored at 5:29, assisted by Andrew Copp and Justin Faulk, bringing the Red Wings within one goal at 3-2. Ryan McDonagh secured the Lightning victory with an unassisted goal at 19:56 of the third, finalizing the score at 4-2. The Lightning outshot the Red Wings 27-21. SportsFBI's model had indicated a 79% probability of a Tampa Bay win. Following the game, Tampa Bay's record stands at 8-3-2, while Detroit's is 7-5-3.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (-290, 74% implied) over the Detroit Red Wings.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (79% confidence). It gave a 46% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 7:54 Brayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Charle-Edouard D'Astous) TBL · Power play · snap shot · DET 0, TBL 1
- P1 13:01 Brayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Erik Cernak) TBL · snap shot · DET 0, TBL 2
- P2 8:41 Anthony Cirelli (Gage Goncalves, J.J. Moser) TBL · snap shot · DET 0, TBL 3
- P2 10:23 Lucas Raymond (J.T. Compher) DET · snap shot · DET 1, TBL 3
- P3 5:29 J.T. Compher (Andrew Copp, Justin Faulk) DET · Power play · snap shot · DET 2, TBL 3
- P3 19:59 Ryan McDonagh TBL · Empty net · snap shot · DET 2, TBL 4
Biggest Period
The Tampa Bay Lightning scored 2 goals in P1 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 |
| TBL | 13 | 9 | 5 | 27 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 2Goals6% of attempts
- 19Saved58% of attempts
- 12Missed the net36% of attempts
- 4Goals9% of attempts
- 23Saved51% of attempts
- 18Missed the net40% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Compher | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 |
| Lucas Raymond | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 |
| Justin Faulk | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19:52 |
| Andrew Copp | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 |
| Moritz Seider | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 30:11 |
| Alex DeBrincat | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22:55 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:36 |
| Ben Chiarot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:30 |
| Emmitt Finnie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:36 |
| William Wallinder | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 |
| Michael Rasmussen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:08 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:58 |
| Andreas Englund | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 13:51 |
| John Leonard | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:03 |
| Keegan Kolesar | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10:34 |
| Sheldon Dries | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:22 |
| Anton Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:09 |
| Carter Mazur | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 08:29 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | — | 11 | 13 | 84.6 | 2 | 20:00 |
| Daniil Tarasov | L | 12 | 13 | 92.3 | 1 | 36:59 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 |
| Nikita Kucherov | R | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:40 |
| Anthony Cirelli | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 |
| Ryan McDonagh | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 |
| Erik Cernak | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18:49 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18:14 |
| Gage Goncalves | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:44 |
| J.J. Moser | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13:58 |
| Brandon Hagel | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:05 |
| Jake Guentzel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 |
| John Carlson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:29 |
| Max Crozier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 |
| Victor Hedman | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| Pontus Holmberg | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:05 |
| Conor Geekie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11:54 |
| Jeffrey Viel | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10:58 |
| Dominic James | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:34 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | W | 19 | 21 | 90.5 | 2 | 60:00 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point TBL | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Nikita Kucherov TBL | Points | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous TBL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Andrew Copp DET | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Justin Faulk DET | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Lucas Raymond DET | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
More NHL Results — Tuesday, November 3, 2026
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