NHL Final Intelligence

New Jersey Devils 5, Vegas Golden Knights 2 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The New Jersey Devils overcame an early deficit to defeat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2, with Jack Hughes and Arseny Gritsyuk each scoring twice. The first period saw a flurry of goals, starting with Luke Hughes giving New Jersey a 1-0 lead at 5:38, assisted by Anthony Mantha. Vegas responded with Mark Stone tying the game at 16:27, assisted by Mitch Marner, who then set up Ivan Barbashev for a 2-1 Golden Knights lead at 17:57, with Brayden McNabb also assisting. However, Arseny Gritsyuk quickly tied the game at 18:51, sending the teams into the intermission knotted at 2-2. The Devils ultimately outshot the Golden Knights 32-21.

New Jersey took control in the second period, scoring two unanswered goals. Jack Hughes broke the tie at 3:49, assisted by Jesper Bratt, to make it 3-2. Arseny Gritsyuk then scored his second goal of the game at 18:16, assisted by Jonas Siegenthaler, extending the Devils' lead to 4-2. Vegas goaltender Adin Hill made 24 saves on 28 shots, while New Jersey's Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 21 shots faced.

Jack Hughes added his second goal of the game at 17:09 of the third period to secure the 5-2 victory for New Jersey. Mitch Marner recorded two assists for the Golden Knights. The win improved the Devils' record to 8-5-0, while the Golden Knights now stand at 9-4-1. SportsFBI's pregame model had leaned towards a 51% probability for Vegas.

#DevilsGoldenKnights #NHLRecap #JackHughes #ArsenyGritsyuk

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Vegas Golden Knights (-115, 53% implied) over the New Jersey Devils. The underdog won.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Vegas Golden Knights (51% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · VGK -1.5 NJD covered Won by 3
Total · 6.5 Over 7 combined
Moneyline NJD -110 · VGK -110 VGK favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (VGK) -1.5-1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (VGK) -110-110 No move

Standouts

Top Scorer · NJD
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 7 SOG · 17:19 TOI
Goals · NJD
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 6 SOG · 17:00 TOI
Season highs
Arseny Gritsyuk · Season-high 8 shots on goalJack Hughes · Season-high 2 goalsArseny Gritsyuk · Season-high 2 goals

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

NJD 3 largest lead P3 17:09 (NJD 5, VGK 2) · 4-0 run, P1 18:51–P3 17:09
VGK 1 largest lead P1 17:57 (NJD 1, VGK 2) · 2-0 run, P1 16:27–P1 17:57
Swings 2 lead changes Tied 2 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 5:38 Luke Hughes (Anthony Mantha) NJD · snap shot · NJD 1, VGK 0
  • P1 16:27 Mark Stone (Mitch Marner) VGK · Power play · tip-in shot · NJD 1, VGK 1
  • P1 17:57 Ivan Barbashev (Mitch Marner, Brayden McNabb) VGK · wrist shot · NJD 1, VGK 2
  • P1 18:51 Arseny Gritsyuk NJD · wrist shot · NJD 2, VGK 2
  • P2 3:49 Jack Hughes (Jesper Bratt) NJD · wrist shot · NJD 3, VGK 2
  • P2 18:16 Arseny Gritsyuk (Jonas Siegenthaler) NJD · backhand shot · NJD 4, VGK 2
  • P3 17:09 Jack Hughes NJD · Empty net · backhand shot · NJD 5, VGK 2

Linescore

123 T
NJD 221 5
VGK 200 2

Shots on goal: NJD 29, VGK 21

📋 Team Stats

NJDVGK
32Shots on goal21
52Shot attempts50
27Faceoff wins30
13Hits36
5Blocked shots15
0Power-play goals1
7Takeaways1
9Giveaways13
2Penalty minutes4
90.5%Save %87.1%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
NJD716932
VGK87621

🎯 Shot Map

New Jersey Devils5 G · 45 attempts
Luke Hughes: goal (snap)Jack Hughes: saved (wrist)Nico Hischier: saved (wrist)Luke Evangelista: saved (tip-in)Johnathan Kovacevic: missed the netBrett Pesce: missed the netJohnathan Kovacevic: saved (slap)Arseny Gritsyuk: missed the netLuke Evangelista: saved (wrist)Arseny Gritsyuk: goal (wrist)Luke Hughes: saved (wrist)Arseny Gritsyuk: saved (wrist)Timo Meier: saved (wrist)Jack Hughes: goal (wrist)Jonas Siegenthaler: missed the netDougie Hamilton: saved (wrist)Jack Hughes: saved (snap)Jack Hughes: saved (backhand)Cody Glass: missed the netAmadeus Lombardi: saved (wrist)Jack Hughes: saved (wrist)Arseny Gritsyuk: saved (wrist)Anthony Mantha: saved (wrist)Timo Meier: saved (wrist)Luke Evangelista: saved (deflected)Cody Glass: saved (wrist)Arseny Gritsyuk: saved (backhand)Arseny Gritsyuk: goal (backhand)Cody Glass: missed the netJohnathan Kovacevic: missed the netArseny Gritsyuk: saved (wrist)Brett Pesce: saved (wrist)Jack Hughes: missed the netJack Hughes: saved (wrist)Timo Meier: missed the netDougie Hamilton: saved (wrist)Connor Brown: missed the netLuke Evangelista: missed the netArseny Gritsyuk: missed the netLuke Hughes: missed the netJack Hughes: goal (backhand)Jesper Boqvist: saved (wrist)Arseny Gritsyuk: saved (snap)Arseny Gritsyuk: saved (snap)Johnathan Kovacevic: saved (wrist)
  • 5Goals11% of attempts
  • 27Saved60% of attempts
  • 13Missed the net29% of attempts
Vegas Golden Knights2 G · 32 attempts
Jack Eichel: missed the netNic Dowd: missed the netShea Theodore: saved (wrist)Braeden Bowman: saved (wrist)Noah Hanifin: saved (wrist)Jeremy Lauzon: missed the netIvan Barbashev: saved (wrist)Jeremy Lauzon: missed the netMark Stone: goal (tip-in)Tomas Hertl: saved (backhand)Ivan Barbashev: goal (wrist)Trevor Connelly: missed the netNoah Hanifin: saved (wrist)Rasmus Andersson: saved (wrist)Nic Dowd: missed the netRasmus Andersson: missed the netTrevor Connelly: saved (wrist)Braeden Bowman: missed the netShea Theodore: saved (wrist)Jeremy Lauzon: missed the netNoah Hanifin: saved (wrist)William Karlsson: saved (wrist)Jeremy Lauzon: saved (wrist)Rasmus Andersson: saved (wrist)Tomas Hertl: saved (wrist)Shea Theodore: saved (wrist)Ivan Barbashev: saved (wrist)Noah Hanifin: saved (wrist)Mitch Marner: missed the netTrevor Connelly: saved (snap)Mitch Marner: saved (wrist)William Karlsson: missed the net
  • 2Goals6% of attempts
  • 19Saved59% of attempts
  • 11Missed the net34% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

NJD skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Arseny Gritsyuk R 202+381017:48
Jack Hughes C 202+470017:20
Luke Hughes D 101+320023:39
Jonas Siegenthaler D 011-101320:45
Jesper Bratt L 011+402015:35
Anthony Mantha R 011+110013:58
Brett Pesce D 000+310021:52
Luke Evangelista R 000-133018:40
Nico Hischier C 000-111018:12
Dougie Hamilton D 000-120017:54
Timo Meier R 000021117:27
Johnathan Kovacevic D 000+221016:33
Evan Rodrigues C 000000016:22
Declan Chisholm D 000+200015:48
Jesper Boqvist C 000012013:59
Cody Glass C 000+111012:13
Amadeus Lombardi C 000010011:35
Connor Brown R 000+100110:14
NJD goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Connor Hellebuyck W 192190.5260:00
VGK skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Mitch Marner R 022-110117:42
Mark Stone R 101-214116:17
Ivan Barbashev L 101-133015:20
Brayden McNabb D 011+103118:34
Rasmus Andersson D 000-220324:29
Noah Hanifin D 000-241424:00
Shea Theodore D 000-130121:14
Jeremy Lauzon D 000-215218:11
Trevor Connelly L 000-221016:57
William Karlsson C 000-211016:54
Jack Eichel C 000-101116:21
Tomas Hertl C 000-225015:44
Brett Howden C 000-100114:32
Braeden Bowman R 000-210013:21
Ville Heinola D 000-100012:26
Nic Dowd C 000005012:23
Jonas Rondbjerg R 000000012:22
Marc Gatcomb C 000007011:01
VGK goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Adin Hill L 273187.1458:12

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Mitch Marner VGK Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Jack Hughes NJD Points0.52 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.52 Over
Shots on goal3.57 Over
Arseny Gritsyuk NJD Points0.52 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.58 Over
Ivan Barbashev VGK Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.53 Over
Jesper Bratt NJD Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.50 Under
Luke Hughes NJD Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.52 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series NJD 1 – 0 VGK
Last 3 meetings · since 2025-26 NJD 2 – 1 VGK
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
New Jersey Devils 9-5-0 W1 L10 7-3-0 Next game recap: vs EDM · Tue, Nov 3
Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-1 L1 L10 5-4-1 Next game recap: @ BOS · Mon, Nov 2

🔍 Key Suspects Results

9 of 14 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

NJD — Away
Luke Hughes Luke Hughes D Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Evan Rodrigues Evan Rodrigues C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Nico Hischier Nico Hischier C Shots on Goal · FanDuel 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Connor Brown Connor Brown RW Anytime Goal · Fanatics 1+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Dougie Hamilton Dougie Hamilton D Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
Arseny Gritsyuk Arseny Gritsyuk RW Anytime Goal · BetRivers 1+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 2
Timo Meier Timo Meier RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 2
Luke Evangelista Luke Evangelista RW Shots on Goal · FanDuel 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
Jack Hughes Jack Hughes C Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
VGK — Home
Mitch Marner Mitch Marner RW Assists · DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
Jack Eichel Jack Eichel C Shots on Goal · FanDuel 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Tomas Hertl Tomas Hertl C Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Mark Stone Mark Stone RW Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Brett Howden Brett Howden C Anytime Goal · FanDuel 1+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0

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