NHL Final Intelligence

VGK 9-5-1
2 – 3
FINAL/SO
BOS 10-4-1

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Boston Bruins 3 (SO) — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Boston Bruins claimed a 3-2 shootout victory over the Vegas Golden Knights on Tuesday night, overcoming a late third-period equalizer to secure the win. Boston goaltender Jeremy Swayman made 21 saves on 23 shots, while Carter Hart of Vegas stopped 25 of 27 attempts. The SportsFBI pregame model had leaned toward the Golden Knights with a 51% probability of winning. Following the game, Boston's record improved to 10-4-1, and Vegas moved to 9-5-1.

The Bruins established an early advantage, with James Hagens opening the scoring at 7:23 of the first period, assisted by Elias Lindholm and Nikita Zadorov. Boston then extended its lead to 2-0 early in the second period when Morgan Geekie scored at 3:23, with Pavel Zacha and David Pastrnak earning assists.

Vegas began its push late in the second period, as Mark Stone cut the deficit to 2-1 at 14:58, assisted by Tomas Hertl and Mitch Marner. Marner then contributed another assist in the third period when Trevor Connelly scored at 7:23, also assisted by Noah Hanifin, to draw the game even at 2-2. Both teams exchanged opportunities, with Boston finishing with 27 shots to Vegas's 23, but a scoreless overtime period led to the deciding shootout, which Boston ultimately won.

#BostonBruins #VegasGoldenKnights #NHLGames #ShootoutWin

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Vegas Golden Knights (-118, 54% implied) over the Boston Bruins. The underdog won.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Vegas Golden Knights (51% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · VGK -1.5 BOS covered Won by 1
Total · 6.5 Under 5 combined
Moneyline VGK -115 · BOS -104 VGK favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (BOS) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (BOS) -106-104 +2

Standouts

Top Scorer · VGK
0 G, 2 A, 2 PTS, 1 SOG · 24:25 TOI
Goals · BOS
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 3 SOG · 17:27 TOI
Season highs
David Pastrnak · Season-high 7 shots on goal

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

VGK 0 largest lead Never led · 2-0 run, P2 14:58–P3 7:23
BOS 2 largest lead P2 3:23 (VGK 0, BOS 2) · 2-0 run, P1 7:23–P2 3:23
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 1 time
Scoring summary
  • P1 7:23 James Hagens (Elias Lindholm, Nikita Zadorov) BOS · snap shot · VGK 0, BOS 1
  • P2 3:23 Morgan Geekie (Pavel Zacha, David Pastrnak) BOS · Power play · snap shot · VGK 0, BOS 2
  • P2 14:58 Mark Stone (Tomas Hertl, Mitch Marner) VGK · Power play · wrist shot · VGK 1, BOS 2
  • P3 7:23 Trevor Connelly (Noah Hanifin, Mitch Marner) VGK · wrist shot · VGK 2, BOS 2

Linescore

123OT SO T
VGK 0110 0 2
BOS 1100 1 3

Shots on goal: VGK 23, BOS 27 · The shootout winner is credited with one goal in the final score.

📋 Team Stats

VGKBOS
23Shots on goal27
53Shot attempts62
19Faceoff wins22
28Hits14
15Blocked shots13
1Power-play goals1
3Takeaways5
19Giveaways17
17Penalty minutes6
92.6%Save %91.3%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
VGK6114223
BOS8610327

🎯 Shot Map

Vegas Golden Knights2 G · 35 attempts
Brayden McNabb: saved (snap)Brett Howden: saved (snap)William Karlsson: missed the netMark Stone: saved (slap)Noah Hanifin: saved (slap)Brett Howden: missed the netMitch Marner: missed the netJonas Rondbjerg: missed the netJack Eichel: missed the netTomas Hertl: saved (tip-in)Brett Howden: saved (tip-in)Ivan Barbashev: missed the netNic Dowd: missed the netMitch Marner: missed the netMitch Marner: missed the netTomas Hertl: saved (tip-in)Braeden Bowman: missed the netRasmus Andersson: saved (snap)Mitch Marner: saved (snap)Tomas Hertl: saved (deflected)Dylan Coghlan: saved (slap)Noah Hanifin: saved (snap)Brayden McNabb: missed the netTomas Hertl: saved (snap)Mark Stone: goal (wrist)Rasmus Andersson: saved (snap)Ivan Barbashev: saved (tip-in)Jack Eichel: missed the netDylan Coghlan: saved (snap)William Karlsson: saved (snap)Trevor Connelly: goal (wrist)Noah Hanifin: saved (snap)Noah Hanifin: saved (slap)Noah Hanifin: saved (wrist)Jack Eichel: saved (wrist)
  • 2Goals6% of attempts
  • 21Saved60% of attempts
  • 12Missed the net34% of attempts
Boston Bruins2 G · 45 attempts
James Hagens: saved (wrist)Marat Khusnutdinov: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: missed the netNikita Zadorov: saved (wrist)Will Borgen: saved (wrist)Casey Mittelstadt: missed the netJames Hagens: goal (snap)David Pastrnak: saved (slap)James Hagens: saved (deflected)Fraser Minten: missed the netWill Borgen: saved (wrist)Mark Kastelic: missed the netJames Hagens: missed the netNikita Zadorov: missed the netElias Lindholm: missed the netMorgan Geekie: goal (snap)Casey Mittelstadt: missed the netPavel Zacha: saved (snap)Casey Mittelstadt: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: saved (wrist)Mason Lohrei: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: missed the netDavid Pastrnak: saved (backhand)JJ Peterka: missed the netMason Lohrei: saved (wrist)Casey Mittelstadt: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: saved (wrist)Morgan Geekie: saved (wrist)Morgan Geekie: missed the netElias Lindholm: missed the netJJ Peterka: missed the netFraser Minten: missed the netCharlie McAvoy: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: missed the netDavid Pastrnak: missed the netJonathan Aspirot: saved (wrist)Jonathan Aspirot: saved (wrist)David Pastrnak: saved (tip-in)Hampus Lindholm: saved (wrist)Mason Lohrei: missed the netFraser Minten: saved (wrist)Hampus Lindholm: saved (tip-in)Charlie McAvoy: missed the netDavid Pastrnak: saved (slap)
  • 2Goals4% of attempts
  • 25Saved56% of attempts
  • 18Missed the net40% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

VGK skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Mitch Marner R 022+111224:25
Mark Stone R 101-121321:35
Trevor Connelly L 101+110114:17
Noah Hanifin D 011050223:44
Tomas Hertl C 011045113:48
Jack Eichel C 000-110024:57
Shea Theodore D 000000023:46
Rasmus Andersson D 000020121:54
Brayden McNabb D 000011021:05
William Karlsson C 000+112019:26
Jeremy Lauzon D 000005218:18
Brett Howden C 000021015:59
Ivan Barbashev L 000-114215:16
Dylan Coghlan D 000020012:06
Jonas Rondbjerg R 000000011:02
Nic Dowd C 000003109:43
Marc Gatcomb C 000005009:19
Braeden Bowman R 000000005:20
VGK goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Carter Hart O 252792.6265:00
BOS skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
James Hagens C 101+130117:27
Morgan Geekie C 101-120016:57
Elias Lindholm C 011+100122:07
Pavel Zacha C 011-111021:43
David Pastrnak R 011070221:31
Nikita Zadorov D 011+110119:54
Charlie McAvoy D 000010125:36
Hampus Lindholm D 000020120:35
Fraser Minten C 000011119:46
JJ Peterka R 000001119:24
Will Borgen D 000+121018:58
Mason Lohrei D 000-120017:57
Casey Mittelstadt C 000+120017:53
Marat Khusnutdinov C 000-111115:05
Jonathan Aspirot D 000-122114:08
Tanner Jeannot L 000004109:36
Mark Kastelic C 000003109:02
Matthew Poitras C 000000003:13
BOS goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Jeremy Swayman W 212391.3265:00

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Mitch Marner VGK Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Morgan Geekie BOS Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Elias Lindholm BOS Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.50 Under
Tomas Hertl VGK Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.54 Over
David Pastrnak BOS Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.57 Over
Pavel Zacha BOS Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.51 Under

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series VGK 0 – 1 BOS
Last 3 meetings · since 2025-26 VGK 1 – 2 BOS
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-2 L2 L10 4-4-2 Next game recap: @ PIT · Tue, Nov 3
Boston Bruins 11-4-1 W2 L10 7-2-1 Next game: @ PIT · Thu, Nov 5

🔍 Key Suspects Results

10 of 15 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

VGK — Away
Mark Stone Mark Stone RW Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Jack Eichel Jack Eichel C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Tomas Hertl Tomas Hertl C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Shea Theodore Shea Theodore D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Brayden McNabb Brayden McNabb D Assists · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Mitch Marner Mitch Marner RW Assists · DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
William Karlsson William Karlsson C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Ivan Barbashev Ivan Barbashev LW Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
BOS — Home
Fraser Minten Fraser Minten C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Pavel Zacha Pavel Zacha C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
David Pastrnak David Pastrnak RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
Morgan Geekie Morgan Geekie C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Charlie McAvoy Charlie McAvoy D Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Casey Mittelstadt Casey Mittelstadt C Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Mark Kastelic Mark Kastelic C Points · DraftKings 1+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0

More NHL Results — Monday, November 2, 2026

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