NHL Final Intelligence

New York Rangers 1, Edmonton Oilers 3 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

Connor McDavid opened the scoring at 6:42 of the first period, staking the Edmonton Oilers to a lead they would not relinquish in a 3-1 victory over the New York Rangers. The market favored Edmonton at 61% according to SportsFBI's model, and the visitors backed that projection by jumping ahead early.

Leon Draisaitl extended the Edmonton advantage to 2-0 just 2:59 into the second period, with assists credited to Vasily Podkolzin and Mattias Ekholm. The Rangers responded at 5:05 of the middle frame when Jaroslav Chmelar scored off a feed from Mika Zibanejad, cutting the deficit to 2-1 and keeping the New York attack pushing with a 29-20 edge in shots on goal.

Draisaitl sealed the outcome late in regulation, scoring his second of the night unassisted at 18:47 of the third period to secure the 3-1 final. Devon Levi anchored the Edmonton defense by turning aside 28 of 29 shots, outdueling Dylan Garand, who stopped 17 of 19 shots for New York. With the result, Edmonton improves its record to 12-3-3, while New York drops to 10-7-1.

#Oilers #Rangers #NHL #Hockey

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Edmonton Oilers (-162, 62% implied) over the New York Rangers.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Edmonton Oilers (61% confidence). It gave a 34% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · EDM -1.5 EDM covered Won by 2
Total · 6.5 Under 4 combined
Moneyline NYR +138 · EDM -170 EDM favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (EDM) -1.5-1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (EDM) -154-170 -16

Standouts

Top Scorer · EDM
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 4 SOG · 23:24 TOI
Goals · EDM
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 4 SOG · 24:34 TOI
Season highs
Pavel Dorofeyev · Season-high 6 shots on goal

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

NYR 0 largest lead Never led
EDM 2 largest lead P2 2:59 (NYR 0, EDM 2) · 2-0 run, P1 6:42–P2 2:59
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 0 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 6:42 Connor McDavid EDM · wrist shot · NYR 0, EDM 1
  • P2 2:59 Leon Draisaitl (Vasily Podkolzin, Mattias Ekholm) EDM · wrist shot · NYR 0, EDM 2
  • P2 5:05 Jaroslav Chmelar (Mika Zibanejad) NYR · Shorthanded · wrist shot · NYR 1, EDM 2
  • P3 18:47 Leon Draisaitl EDM · Empty net · wrist shot · NYR 1, EDM 3

Linescore

123 T
NYR 010 1
EDM 111 3

Shots on goal: NYR 29, EDM 20

📋 Team Stats

NYREDM
29Shots on goal20
56Shot attempts43
30Faceoff wins26
19Hits23
7Blocked shots12
0Power-play goals0
3Takeaways2
7Giveaways13
8Penalty minutes12
89.5%Save %96.6%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
NYR119929
EDM86620

🎯 Shot Map

New York Rangers1 G · 47 attempts
Oliver Bjorkstrand: saved (slap)Will Cuylle: missed the netNoah Laba: saved (wrap-around)Pavel Dorofeyev: saved (wrist)Adam Fox: saved (slap)Pavel Dorofeyev: saved (wrist)Pavel Dorofeyev: saved (wrist)Tye Kartye: saved (wrist)Alexis Lafrenière: missed the netMatthew Robertson: saved (wrist)J.T. Miller: saved (tip-in)J.T. Miller: saved (wrist)J.T. Miller: missed the netJ.T. Miller: saved (wrist)Tye Kartye: saved (wrist)Vladislav Gavrikov: missed the netJaroslav Chmelar: goal (wrist)J.T. Miller: missed the netPavel Dorofeyev: saved (wrist)Matthew Robertson: missed the netTye Kartye: saved (backhand)Tye Kartye: missed the netBraden Schneider: saved (snap)Tye Kartye: saved (wrist)Tye Kartye: missed the netJaroslav Chmelar: saved (wrist)Pavel Dorofeyev: missed the netPavel Dorofeyev: saved (wrist)Adam Fox: saved (backhand)Vladislav Gavrikov: missed the netAlexis Lafrenière: missed the netMika Zibanejad: missed the netMika Zibanejad: missed the netNoah Laba: saved (wrist)Will Cuylle: saved (wrist)Oliver Bjorkstrand: missed the netTye Kartye: missed the netNoah Laba: missed the netOliver Bjorkstrand: saved (wrist)Braden Schneider: saved (wrist)Tye Kartye: missed the netScott Morrow: saved (wrist)Pavel Dorofeyev: saved (wrist)Tye Kartye: missed the netAdam Fox: saved (wrist)J.T. Miller: savedMika Zibanejad: saved
  • 1Goals2% of attempts
  • 28Saved60% of attempts
  • 18Missed the net38% of attempts
Edmonton Oilers3 G · 31 attempts
Connor Murphy: saved (snap)Zach Hyman: missed the netRyan Nugent-Hopkins: saved (tip-in)Ty Emberson: saved (snap)Jason Dickinson: missed the netEvan Bouchard: missed the netConnor McDavid: goal (wrist)Mathieu Joseph: saved (slap)Evan Bouchard: missed the netVasily Podkolzin: saved (snap)Vasily Podkolzin: missed the netConnor McDavid: saved (snap)Mattias Ekholm: saved (snap)Connor McDavid: saved (snap)Leon Draisaitl: goal (wrist)Leon Draisaitl: saved (snap)Evan Bouchard: saved (slap)Zach Hyman: saved (backhand)Leon Draisaitl: missed the netRyan Shea: saved (wrist)Connor McDavid: missed the netZach Hyman: missed the netConnor McDavid: missed the netShakir Mukhamadullin: missed the netVasily Podkolzin: missed the netRyan Shea: saved (snap)Leon Draisaitl: saved (backhand)Alex Formenton: saved (backhand)Mattias Ekholm: saved (slap)Connor McDavid: saved (wrist)Leon Draisaitl: goal (wrist)
  • 3Goals10% of attempts
  • 17Saved55% of attempts
  • 11Missed the net35% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

NYR skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Jaroslav Chmelar R 101+121006:46
Mika Zibanejad C 011011023:00
Adam Fox D 000030025:21
Tye Kartye L 000-344122:47
Vladislav Gavrikov D 000+100121:48
J.T. Miller C 000-341121:11
Marcus Pettersson D 000-201020:14
Alexis Lafrenière L 000-101120:01
Braden Schneider D 000-220019:59
Pavel Dorofeyev R 000-360018:40
Will Cuylle L 000014016:35
Gabe Perreault R 000000016:07
Noah Laba C 000022113:55
Matthew Robertson D 000010012:37
Oliver Bjorkstrand R 000022112:02
Scott Morrow D 000010010:03
Eeli Tolvanen R 000002106:31
Luke Glendening C 000000003:44
NYR goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Dylan Garand — 171989.5257:54
EDM skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Leon Draisaitl C 202+240123:24
Connor McDavid C 101+240124:34
Mattias Ekholm D 011+320021:39
Vasily Podkolzin R 011+211015:47
Evan Bouchard D 000+111121:55
Ryan Shea D 000020120:51
Connor Murphy D 000+112220:22
Zach Hyman L 000-110017:57
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C 000-110017:35
Kasperi Kapanen R 000004117:22
Shakir Mukhamadullin D 000001217:10
Ty Emberson D 000011113:14
Jason Dickinson C 000003112:40
Mathieu Joseph R 000012012:38
Alex Formenton L 000012012:02
Owen Michaels R 000000107:13
Trent Frederic C 000003005:40
Max Jones L 000003004:42
EDM goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Devon Levi — 282996.6159:33

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Leon Draisaitl EDM Points1.52 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.52 Over
Shots on goal3.54 Over
Mika Zibanejad NYR Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Connor McDavid EDM Points1.51 Under
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal3.54 Over
Vasily Podkolzin EDM Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.51 Under
Mattias Ekholm EDM Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Tye Kartye NYR Points0.50 Under
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.54 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series NYR 0 – 2 EDM
Last 4 meetings · since 2025-26 NYR 1 – 3 EDM
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
New York Rangers 10-8-1 L1 L10 4-5-1 Next game: @ CGY · Wed, Nov 11
Edmonton Oilers 13-3-3 W2 L10 6-2-2 Next game: vs PHI · Wed, Nov 11

🔍 Key Suspects Results

3 of 11 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

NYR — Away
Tye Kartye Tye Kartye LW Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Adam Fox Adam Fox D Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Gabe Perreault Gabe Perreault RW Goals · FanDuel 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Oliver Bjorkstrand Oliver Bjorkstrand RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 3+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 2
Alexis Lafrenière Alexis Lafrenière LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
EDM — Home
Zach Hyman Zach Hyman LW Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Mattias Ekholm Mattias Ekholm D Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Evan Bouchard Evan Bouchard D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Connor McDavid Connor McDavid C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 3.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4
Leon Draisaitl Leon Draisaitl C Goals · FanDuel 2+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 2

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