NHL Final Intelligence
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Washington Capitals 5 — Recap
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Game Recap
Washington defeated Philadelphia 5-2, as Dylan Strome contributed three assists and Jordan Kyrou scored two goals to lead the Capitals. Alex Tuch initiated the scoring early in the first period, putting Washington up 1-0 at 1:50 with assists from Strome and Jack St. Ivany. Philadelphia responded in the second period when Sean Couturier tied the game 1-1 at 4:36, assisted by Nick Seeler. SportsFBI's model had predicted a Washington victory with a 79% probability.
The Capitals quickly regained control, with Kyrou's first goal coming at 7:14 of the second period, assisted by Strome and Jakob Chychrun, to make it 2-1. Washington extended its lead later in the period when Aliaksei Protas scored at 16:47, assisted by Matt Roy and Pierre-Luc Dubois, pushing the score to 3-1. Washington outshot Philadelphia 30-25 in the contest.
Philadelphia mounted a third-period challenge, with Matvei Michkov narrowing the deficit to 3-2 at 9:44, assisted by Denver Barkey and Trevor Zegras. However, Kyrou responded for Washington at 12:51, his second goal of the game, again assisted by Strome and St. Ivany, restoring a two-goal advantage at 4-2. Tuch sealed the victory for the Capitals with his second goal of the night at 17:36, assisted by Dubois, making the final score 5-2. Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 24 shots for Washington, while Joseph Woll made 25 saves on 29 shots for Philadelphia. The win improved Washington's record to 6-4-0, while Philadelphia fell to 3-7-4.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Washington Capitals (-245, 71% implied) over the Philadelphia Flyers.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Washington Capitals (79% confidence). It gave a 41% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 1:50 Alex Tuch (Dylan Strome, Jack St. Ivany) WSH · snap shot · PHI 0, WSH 1
- P2 4:36 Sean Couturier (Nick Seeler) PHI · tip-in shot · PHI 1, WSH 1
- P2 7:14 Jordan Kyrou (Dylan Strome, Jakob Chychrun) WSH · Power play · snap shot · PHI 1, WSH 2
- P2 16:47 Aliaksei Protas (Matt Roy, Pierre-Luc Dubois) WSH · tip-in shot · PHI 1, WSH 3
- P3 9:44 Matvei Michkov (Denver Barkey, Trevor Zegras) PHI · Power play · wrist shot · PHI 2, WSH 3
- P3 12:51 Jordan Kyrou (Dylan Strome, Jack St. Ivany) WSH · snap shot · PHI 2, WSH 4
- P3 17:36 Alex Tuch (Pierre-Luc Dubois) WSH · Empty net · snap shot · PHI 2, WSH 5
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 11 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| WSH | 13 | 7 | 10 | 30 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 2Goals6% of attempts
- 23Saved68% of attempts
- 9Missed the net26% of attempts
- 5Goals11% of attempts
- 25Saved57% of attempts
- 14Missed the net32% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Couturier | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:17 |
| Matvei Michkov | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 |
| Trevor Zegras | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:09 |
| Nick Seeler | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:19 |
| Denver Barkey | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 |
| Jamie Drysdale | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23:26 |
| Travis Sanheim | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20:58 |
| Tyson Foerster | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19:19 |
| Oliver Bonk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 |
| Cam York | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 |
| Christian Dvorak | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:20 |
| Hunter McDonald | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16:36 |
| Cole Knuble | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 |
| Alex Bump | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:47 |
| Porter Martone | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:32 |
| Noah Cates | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:58 |
| Noel Acciari | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:25 |
| Jacob Gaucher | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 08:55 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | L | 25 | 29 | 86.2 | 4 | 58:09 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome | C | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 |
| Alex Tuch | R | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:41 |
| Jordan Kyrou | R | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:34 |
| Jack St. Ivany | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:44 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:00 |
| Aliaksei Protas | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:54 |
| Jakob Chychrun | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:08 |
| Matt Roy | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 20:37 |
| Martin Fehérváry | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22:39 |
| Cole Hutson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18:21 |
| Timothy Liljegren | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17:29 |
| Boone Jenner | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17:01 |
| Tom Wilson | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:44 |
| Justin Sourdif | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:04 |
| Ryan Leonard | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 |
| Alex Ovechkin | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:59 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:27 |
| Ilya Protas | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11:26 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | W | 23 | 25 | 92.0 | 2 | 60:00 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome WSH | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Alex Tuch WSH | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois WSH | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Jordan Kyrou WSH | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Jakob Chychrun WSH | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Trevor Zegras PHI | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 4 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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