NHL Final Intelligence
Utah Mammoth 3, Philadelphia Flyers 6 β Recap
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Game Recap
Philadelphia secured a 6-3 victory over Utah, fending off a late rally from the Mammoths. The Flyers opened the scoring in the first period when Matvei Michkov found the net at 12:49, assisted by Noah Cates and Porter Martone. Utah quickly responded, with Dmitri Simashev tying the game at 14:24, assisted by Vincent Trocheck and Logan Cooley, concluding the first period knotted 1-1.
Philadelphia took control in the second period, with Travis Konecny breaking the tie at 1:06, assisted by Jamie Drysdale and Christian Dvorak. Noah Cates further extended the Flyers' lead to 3-1 at 5:50, with assists from Travis Sanheim and Jamie Drysdale. The Flyers continued their offensive push into the third, as Christian Dvorak scored at 1:02, assisted by Travis Konecny and Travis Sanheim, followed by Oliver Bonk at 5:35, assisted by Cam York and Sean Couturier, putting Philadelphia up 5-1.
Utah mounted a late comeback attempt, with Mikhail Sergachev scoring at 16:00, assisted by Nick Schmaltz and Clayton Keller, and Logan Cooley adding another goal at 17:07, also assisted by Nick Schmaltz and Clayton Keller, narrowing the deficit to 5-3. However, Cole Knuble secured the win for Philadelphia with a goal at 18:26, assisted by Noel Acciari and Jamie Drysdale. Christian Dvorak, Travis Konecny, and Noah Cates each contributed a goal and an assist for Philadelphia, while Logan Cooley had a goal and an assist for Utah. Philadelphia's Dan Vladar made 19 saves on 22 shots, and Utah's Karel Vejmelka stopped 15 of 20 shots. Despite SportsFBI's pregame model indicating a 59% probability for a Utah victory, the Flyers improved their record to 3-8-4, while the Mammoths fell to 9-5-0.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Utah Mammoth (-166, 62% implied) over the Philadelphia Flyers. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Utah Mammoth (59% confidence). It gave a 30% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
π΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
π Game Flow
- P1 12:49 Matvei Michkov (Noah Cates, Porter Martone) PHI Β· snap shot Β· UTA 0, PHI 1
- P1 14:24 Dmitri Simashev (Vincent Trocheck, Logan Cooley) UTA Β· snap shot Β· UTA 1, PHI 1
- P2 1:06 Travis Konecny (Jamie Drysdale, Christian Dvorak) PHI Β· backhand shot Β· UTA 1, PHI 2
- P2 5:50 Noah Cates (Travis Sanheim, Jamie Drysdale) PHI Β· snap shot Β· UTA 1, PHI 3
- P3 1:02 Christian Dvorak (Travis Konecny, Travis Sanheim) PHI Β· snap shot Β· UTA 1, PHI 4
- P3 5:35 Oliver Bonk (Cam York, Sean Couturier) PHI Β· slap shot Β· UTA 1, PHI 5
- P3 16:00 Mikhail Sergachev (Nick Schmaltz, Clayton Keller) UTA Β· Power play Β· slap shot Β· UTA 2, PHI 5
- P3 17:07 Logan Cooley (Nick Schmaltz, Clayton Keller) UTA Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· UTA 3, PHI 5
- P3 18:26 Cole Knuble (Noel Acciari, Jamie Drysdale) PHI Β· Empty net Β· wrist shot Β· UTA 3, PHI 6
Biggest Period
The Philadelphia Flyers scored 3 goals in P3 β the biggest single period of the game.
π Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22 |
| PHI | 7 | 9 | 5 | 21 |
π― Shot Map
- 3Goals8% of attempts
- 19Saved50% of attempts
- 16Missed the net42% of attempts
- 6Goals19% of attempts
- 15Saved47% of attempts
- 11Missed the net34% of attempts
β goal (large) Β· β saved Β· β missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
π Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 |
| Clayton Keller | R | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 |
| Nick Schmaltz | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 24:32 |
| Dmitri Simashev | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:42 |
| Vincent Trocheck | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 19:08 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22:02 |
| Dylan Guenther | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19:18 |
| Andrew Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18:28 |
| Nate Schmidt | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:51 |
| Kevin Stenlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 |
| Artem Duda | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 |
| Anders Lee | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| Michael Carcone | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13:41 |
| Barrett Hayton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 |
| Lawson Crouse | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Jack McBain | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12:22 |
| Liam O'Brien | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:10 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | L | 15 | 20 | 75.0 | 5 | 58:25 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale | D | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:26 |
| Christian Dvorak | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:03 |
| Travis Konecny | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13:58 |
| Noah Cates | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13:02 |
| Travis Sanheim | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:28 |
| Oliver Bonk | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:47 |
| Matvei Michkov | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15:31 |
| Cole Knuble | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:44 |
| Cam York | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:57 |
| Noel Acciari | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:04 |
| Sean Couturier | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:14 |
| Porter Martone | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:32 |
| Nick Seeler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:27 |
| Trevor Zegras | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 |
| Denver Barkey | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| Simon Benoit | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 15:16 |
| Owen Tippett | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:31 |
| Tyson Foerster | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13:21 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | W | 19 | 22 | 86.4 | 3 | 60:00 |
ποΈ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale PHI | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Nick Schmaltz UTA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Logan Cooley UTA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Travis Konecny PHI | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Christian Dvorak PHI | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Travis Sanheim PHI | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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