NHL Final Intelligence

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montréal Canadiens — Recap

October 31, 2026  · Centre Bell  · View Preview

📰Game Recap

Montréal Canadiens secured a 5-4 victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins, riding a decisive second-period surge. The game opened with a rapid exchange of goals, as Pittsburgh's Erik Karlsson scored early at 2:08, assisted by Sidney Crosby and Tommy Novak. Montréal quickly countered with Oliver Kapanen at 2:41, assisted by Owen Beck and Florian Xhekaj, followed just 24 seconds later by Josh Anderson, with an assist from Chris Kreider, to take a 2-1 lead. Tommy Novak, assisted by Rickard Rakell and Crosby, equalized for the Penguins at 7:28 of the first, concluding a four-goal burst in the opening eight minutes of play.

The Canadiens took control in the second period, scoring three goals to Pittsburgh's one. Alexandre Texier put Montréal ahead 3-2 at 1:54, assisted by Lane Hutson and Phillip Danault, setting off another quick succession of goals. Chris Kreider extended Montréal's lead to 4-2 at 2:21, assisted by Arber Xhekaj and Anderson. Though Rickard Rakell, assisted by Karlsson, brought the Penguins within one at 3:45, Anderson netted his second goal of the night at 13:06, with assists from Hutson and Jake Evans, to give Montréal a 5-3 lead entering the final period. Anderson finished the game with two goals and an assist, while Kreider contributed a goal and an assist.

Pittsburgh attempted a comeback in the third period, but could only manage one goal. Sidney Crosby, assisted by Erik Karlsson, scored at 16:49 to narrow the deficit to 5-4, marking Crosby's third point of the game and Karlsson's third point. Both Crosby (1 G, 2 A) and Karlsson (1 G, 2 A) were instrumental for the Penguins offense. Despite outshooting Montréal 29-27 overall, the Penguins were unable to find the equalizer in the closing minutes. Jacob Fowler of Montréal made 24 saves on 28 shots faced, while Pittsburgh's Sergei Murashov stopped 22 of 27 shots. The result aligned with SportsFBI's pregame model, which indicated a 54% probability of a Montréal victory. Montréal improved to an 8-3-2 record, while Pittsburgh fell to 5-6-2.

#CanadiensPenguins #JoshAnderson #SidneyCrosby #ErikKarlsson #JacobFowler

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Montréal Canadiens (-120, 55% implied) over the Pittsburgh Penguins.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Montréal Canadiens (54% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

Standouts

Top Scorer · MTL
2 G, 1 A, 3 PTS, 2 SOG · 13:54 TOI
Goals · PIT
1 G, 2 A, 3 PTS, 4 SOG · 21:50 TOI

Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

123 T
PIT 211 4
MTL 230 5

Shots on goal: PIT 28, MTL 27

Biggest Period

The Montréal Canadiens scored 3 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.

🔍 Key Suspects Results

12 of 23 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

PIT — Away
Sidney Crosby C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Ben Kindel C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Tommy Novak C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Evgeni Malkin C Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Erik Karlsson D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4
Andrei Kuzmenko LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Rickard Rakell RW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Egor Chinakhov RW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Ville Koivunen RW Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Nick Robertson LW Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Kris Letang D Shots on Goal · FanDuel 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
MTL — Home
Oliver Kapanen C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Juraj Slafkovský LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Alex Newhook C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Josh Anderson RW Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
Noah Dobson D Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Alexandre Texier LW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Kaiden Guhle D Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Cole Caufield RW Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Zachary Bolduc RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Lane Hutson D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Kirby Dach C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER VOID
Chris Kreider LW Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Alexandre Carrier D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0

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