NHL Final Intelligence
Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning β Recap
October 15, 2026 Β· Benchmark International Arena Β· View Preview
Game Recap
Tampa Bay Lightning secured a 4-3 overtime victory over the Seattle Kraken on Friday night, extending their record to 4-2-0. Brandon Hagel paced the Lightning offense with two goals, as Tampa Bay generated 35 shots on goal to Seattle's 27. The outcome aligned with the SportsFBI model, which leaned towards a Lightning win at 69% probability.
Seattle initially took the lead in the first period when Ryan Winterton scored at 5:43, assisted by Frederick Gaudreau. However, Brandon Hagel responded for the Lightning at 16:53, tying the game at 1-1 with assists from Brayden Point and Jake Guentzel. Hagel then gave Tampa Bay its first lead of the game early in the second period, scoring at 3:38 with assists from Anthony Cirelli and Dominic James, making it 2-1.
The third period saw a flurry of goals and two lead changes. Seattle's Jared McCann tied the game at 2:54, assisted by Jordan Eberle and Chandler Stephenson. The Lightning reclaimed the lead less than seven minutes later, with Ilya Mikheyev scoring at 9:58. But Seattle again found an equalizer, as Matty Beniers, assisted by Vince Dunn, scored at 15:41 to send the game to overtime at 3-3.
Victor Hedman clinched the win for Tampa Bay at 2:07 of overtime, with Pontus Holmberg assisting the decisive goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy recorded 24 saves for the Lightning in the victory. For the Kraken, Philipp Grubauer made 31 saves against 35 shots. Following the loss, Seattle's record stands at 5-2-0.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (-278, 74% implied) over the Seattle Kraken.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (69% confidence). It gave a 37% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.
Standouts
Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Period
The Seattle Kraken scored 2 goals in P3 β the biggest single period of the game.
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