NHL Final Intelligence

SEA 5-2-1
3 – 4
FINAL/OT
TBL 5-2-0

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning β€” Recap

October 15, 2026  Β· Benchmark International Arena  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Tampa Bay Lightning secured a 4-3 overtime victory over the Seattle Kraken on Friday night, extending their record to 4-2-0. Brandon Hagel paced the Lightning offense with two goals, as Tampa Bay generated 35 shots on goal to Seattle's 27. The outcome aligned with the SportsFBI model, which leaned towards a Lightning win at 69% probability.

Seattle initially took the lead in the first period when Ryan Winterton scored at 5:43, assisted by Frederick Gaudreau. However, Brandon Hagel responded for the Lightning at 16:53, tying the game at 1-1 with assists from Brayden Point and Jake Guentzel. Hagel then gave Tampa Bay its first lead of the game early in the second period, scoring at 3:38 with assists from Anthony Cirelli and Dominic James, making it 2-1.

The third period saw a flurry of goals and two lead changes. Seattle's Jared McCann tied the game at 2:54, assisted by Jordan Eberle and Chandler Stephenson. The Lightning reclaimed the lead less than seven minutes later, with Ilya Mikheyev scoring at 9:58. But Seattle again found an equalizer, as Matty Beniers, assisted by Vince Dunn, scored at 15:41 to send the game to overtime at 3-3.

Victor Hedman clinched the win for Tampa Bay at 2:07 of overtime, with Pontus Holmberg assisting the decisive goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy recorded 24 saves for the Lightning in the victory. For the Kraken, Philipp Grubauer made 31 saves against 35 shots. Following the loss, Seattle's record stands at 5-2-0.

#TampaBayLightning #SeattleKraken #NHLRecap #OvertimeHockey #HagelGoals

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (-278, 74% implied) over the Seattle Kraken.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (69% confidence). It gave a 37% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· TBL
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 6 SOG Β· 23:24 TOI
Goals Β· SEA
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 4 SOG Β· 15:18 TOI
Goaltending Β· TBL
24 saves on 27 shots (.889) Β· W

Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

123OT T
SEA 1020 3
TBL 1111 4

Shots on goal: SEA 27, TBL 35

Biggest Period

The Seattle Kraken scored 2 goals in P3 β€” the biggest single period of the game.

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