NHL Final Intelligence
St. Louis Blues 1, Nashville Predators 3 β Recap
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Game Recap
The Nashville Predators defeated the St. Louis Blues 3-1, validating SportsFBI's pregame lean of 51% for Nashville as the Predators improved their record to 7-4-5 while the Blues dropped to 7-7-2. St. Louis struck first in the opening period when Jimmy Snuggerud scored at 13:07 off assists from Philip Broberg and Robert Thomas. Nashville responded before the intermission at 16:07 as Steven Stamkos converted with helpers from Mavrik Bourque and Roman Josi, evening the score at 1-1 after twenty minutes.
In the second period, Nashville took the lead for good at 9:02. Ross Colton lit the lamp with assists going to Jack Drury and Roman Josi, making it 2-1 in favor of the Predators. The Blues outshot the Predators 26-29 overall, but Juuse Saros turned aside 24 of 25 shots faced to keep St. Louis off the board through the final two frames.
Nashville sealed the victory late in the third period when Nick Perbix scored at 18:31, assisted by Steven Stamkos, to extend the margin to 3-1. Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 28 shots for the Blues in the losing effort, while Roman Josi contributed a game-high two assists and Steven Stamkos finished with a goal and an assist to lead the Predators' offense.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Nashville Predators (51% confidence). It gave a 28% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
π΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
π Game Flow
- P1 13:07 Jimmy Snuggerud (Philip Broberg, Robert Thomas) STL Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· STL 1, NSH 0
- P1 16:07 Steven Stamkos (Mavrik Bourque, Roman Josi) NSH Β· Power play Β· wrist shot Β· STL 1, NSH 1
- P2 9:02 Ross Colton (Jack Drury, Roman Josi) NSH Β· snap shot Β· STL 1, NSH 2
- P3 18:31 Nick Perbix (Steven Stamkos) NSH Β· Empty net Β· wrist shot Β· STL 1, NSH 3
π Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
| NSH | 9 | 13 | 7 | 29 |
π― Shot Map
- 1Goals3% of attempts
- 24Saved60% of attempts
- 15Missed the net38% of attempts
- 3Goals7% of attempts
- 26Saved57% of attempts
- 17Missed the net37% of attempts
β goal (large) Β· β saved Β· β missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
π Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Snuggerud | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:09 |
| Philip Broberg | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28:21 |
| Robert Thomas | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 |
| Cam Fowler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19:51 |
| Colton Parayko | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 |
| Justin Barron | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:08 |
| Dylan Holloway | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 18:54 |
| Brandon Carlo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15:39 |
| Pius Suter | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:39 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 |
| Jake Neighbours | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15:07 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:38 |
| Adam Jiricek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 |
| Connor McMichael | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:36 |
| Mason McTavish | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12:12 |
| Ross Johnston | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:31 |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11:25 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 09:50 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | β | 26 | 28 | 92.9 | 2 | 57:55 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Stamkos | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 |
| Roman Josi | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25:38 |
| Nick Perbix | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 |
| Ross Colton | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:22 |
| Mavrik Bourque | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:54 |
| Jack Drury | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 |
| Filip Forsberg | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20:07 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 |
| Brady Skjei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 |
| Adam Wilsby | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 |
| Jayden Struble | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 |
| Shane Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 |
| Daemon Hunt | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14:06 |
| Adam Edstrom | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14:03 |
| Nils Hoglander | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:29 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 |
| Reid Schaefer | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10:18 |
| Vitali Pinchuk | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 09:49 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | β | 24 | 25 | 96.0 | 1 | 59:19 |
ποΈ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Josi NSH | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Steven Stamkos NSH | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Robert Thomas STL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Mavrik Bourque NSH | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Philip Broberg STL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Jimmy Snuggerud STL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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