NHL Final Intelligence
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers β Recap
October 24, 2026 Β· Rogers Place Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs overwhelmed the Edmonton Oilers with a seven-goal performance in their 7-2 victory. Toronto opened the scoring late in the first period when Jack Roslovic found the net at 14:16, giving the Maple Leafs a 1-0 lead. Despite the Oilers outshooting Toronto 32-31 overall, Toronto's offense capitalized on opportunities throughout the game.
Toronto extended its advantage early in the second period, with Auston Matthews scoring at 5:29, assisted by Easton Cowan and Jack Roslovic, making it 2-0. Just over a minute later, Troy Stecher added another goal at 6:23, assisted by Kirill Marchenko and Morgan Rielly, to push the lead to 3-0. Edmonton finally broke through with 56 seconds remaining in the period when Leon Draisaitl scored, with assists from Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard, reducing the deficit to 3-1.
The Maple Leafs regained control in the third period, with William Nylander scoring at 5:59, assisted by Darren Raddysh and Kirill Marchenko, to make it 4-1. Zack MacEwen then increased Toronto's lead to 5-1 at 13:39, assisted by Brandon Duhaime. Draisaitl scored his second goal of the game at 16:35, again assisted by McDavid and Bouchard, bringing the Oilers to within three goals. However, Toronto quickly responded as Nylander secured his second goal at 17:56, assisted by Jake McCabe, followed by Vinni Lettieri's goal at 19:29, assisted by Gavin McKenna, sealing the dominant victory. Anthony Stolarz made 30 saves on 32 shots for Toronto, earning the win, while Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 30 shots for Edmonton.
William Nylander and Leon Draisaitl each recorded two goals for their respective teams, with Jack Roslovic contributing a goal and an assist for Toronto, and Connor McDavid adding two assists for Edmonton. The Oilers, who now hold an 8-1-1 record, faced a setback after the Maple Leafs improved to 6-4-2. SportsFBI's pregame model had indicated a 57% probability of an Edmonton victory.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Edmonton Oilers (-148, 60% implied) over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Edmonton Oilers (57% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 5 goals.
Standouts
Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Period
The Toronto Maple Leafs scored 4 goals in P3 β the biggest single period of the game.
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