NHL Final Intelligence

UTA 10-7-1
3 – 5
FINAL
VGK 12-5-2

Utah Mammoth 3, Vegas Golden Knights 5 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Vegas Golden Knights defeated the Utah Mammoth 5-3, validating SportsFBI's pregame lean of 57% behind a 28-shot effort and multi-point performances from Mitch Marner, Victor Olofsson, and Ivan Barbashev. Vegas opened the scoring in the first period at 02:15 when Jack Eichel scored from Mitch Marner and Mark Stone. Utah answered at 08:07 with a goal by Lawson Crouse, assisted by Jack McBain and Andrew Peeke, sending the teams into the first intermission tied 1-1.

Vegas took control in the second period by scoring three times. Victor Olofsson scored at 03:07 from Jack Eichel and Mitch Marner, followed by two goals from Ivan Barbashev at 04:51 and 08:16, the latter assisted by Victor Olofsson and Tomas Hertl. Utah tried to respond before the period ended when Jack McBain scored at 16:39 off assists from Lawson Crouse and Andrew Peeke, cutting the Vegas lead to 4-2.

Utah continued the push in the third period as Dmitri Simashev scored at 09:07, assisted by Jack McBain and Clayton Keller, making it a one-goal game at 4-3. However, Brett Howden sealed the win for Vegas at 10:19 with a goal assisted by William Karlsson and Mitch Marner. Carter Hart stopped 14 of 17 shots for Vegas, while Sebastian Cossa made 23 saves on 28 shots for Utah as the Golden Knights improved to 12-5-2 and the Mammoth fell to 10-7-1.

#GoldenKnights #Mammoth #NHL #Hockey

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Vegas Golden Knights (-155, 61% implied) over the Utah Mammoth.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Vegas Golden Knights (57% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · VGK -1.5 VGK covered Won by 2
Total · 6.5 Over 8 combined
Moneyline UTA +122 · VGK -146 VGK favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (VGK) -1.5-1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (VGK) -118-146 -28

Standouts

Top Scorer · VGK
Victor Olofsson
1 G, 2 A, 3 PTS, 6 SOG · 16:38 TOI
Goals · VGK
Ivan Barbashev
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 2 SOG · 13:34 TOI
Season highs
Victor Olofsson · Season-high 6 shots on goalVictor Olofsson · Season-high 3 pointsMitch Marner · Season-high 3 pointsJack McBain · Season-high 3 pointsIvan Barbashev · Season-high 2 goals

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

UTA 0 largest lead Never led · 2-0 run, P2 16:39–P3 9:07
VGK 3 largest lead P2 8:16 (UTA 1, VGK 4) · 3-0 run, P2 3:07–P2 8:16
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 1 time
Scoring summary
  • P1 2:15 Jack Eichel (Mitch Marner, Mark Stone) VGK · Power play · snap shot · UTA 0, VGK 1
  • P1 8:07 Lawson Crouse (Jack McBain, Andrew Peeke) UTA · backhand shot · UTA 1, VGK 1
  • P2 3:07 Victor Olofsson (Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner) VGK · Power play · wrist shot · UTA 1, VGK 2
  • P2 4:51 Ivan Barbashev (Victor Olofsson, Shea Theodore) VGK · wrist shot · UTA 1, VGK 3
  • P2 8:16 Ivan Barbashev (Victor Olofsson, Tomas Hertl) VGK · wrist shot · UTA 1, VGK 4
  • P2 16:39 Jack McBain (Lawson Crouse, Andrew Peeke) UTA · snap shot · UTA 2, VGK 4
  • P3 9:07 Dmitri Simashev (Jack McBain, Clayton Keller) UTA · snap shot · UTA 3, VGK 4
  • P3 10:19 Brett Howden (William Karlsson, Mitch Marner) VGK · tip-in shot · UTA 3, VGK 5

Linescore

123 T
UTA 111 3
VGK 131 5

Shots on goal: UTA 17, VGK 28

Biggest Period

The Vegas Golden Knights scored 3 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.

📋 Team Stats

UTAVGK
17Shots on goal28
53Shot attempts56
28Faceoff wins24
27Hits23
10Blocked shots10
0Power-play goals2
2Takeaways6
20Giveaways19
6Penalty minutes2
82.1%Save %82.4%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
UTA76417
VGK715628

🎯 Shot Map

Utah Mammoth3 G · 41 attempts
Daniil But: missed the netClayton Keller: saved (wrist)Lawson Crouse: missed the netLawson Crouse: missed the netKevin Stenlund: missed the netNick Schmaltz: missed the netLawson Crouse: goal (backhand)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (slap)Barrett Hayton: missed the netMikhail Sergachev: saved (wrist)Dmitri Simashev: missed the netKevin Stenlund: saved (wrist)Daniil But: saved (wrist)Clayton Keller: missed the netMikhail Sergachev: saved (wrist)Barrett Hayton: saved (wrist)Anders Lee: saved (snap)Clayton Keller: missed the netDaniil But: missed the netDaniil But: missed the netArtem Duda: missed the netJack McBain: goal (snap)Clayton Keller: saved (deflected)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (wrist)Vincent Trocheck: saved (deflected)Lawson Crouse: missed the netVincent Trocheck: missed the netMacKenzie Weegar: missed the netLawson Crouse: missed the netJack McBain: missed the netClayton Keller: saved (snap)Dmitri Simashev: missed the netAndrew Peeke: missed the netDmitri Simashev: goal (snap)Kailer Yamamoto: missed the netDmitri Simashev: missed the netClayton Keller: saved (wrist)Anders Lee: missed the netClayton Keller: missed the netVincent Trocheck: missed the netJack McBain: saved (backhand)
  • 3Goals7% of attempts
  • 14Saved34% of attempts
  • 24Missed the net59% of attempts
Vegas Golden Knights5 G · 43 attempts
Victor Olofsson: missed the netJack Eichel: goal (snap)Dylan Coghlan: saved (wrist)Parker Wotherspoon: saved (snap)Mitch Marner: saved (wrist)Braeden Bowman: missed the netNic Dowd: missed the netMitch Marner: missed the netMitch Marner: missed the netTomas Hertl: saved (snap)Victor Olofsson: saved (wrist)Trevor Connelly: saved (wrist)Mitch Marner: saved (wrist)Mark Stone: missed the netVictor Olofsson: goal (wrist)Brayden McNabb: missed the netBrayden McNabb: saved (snap)Victor Olofsson: missed the netIvan Barbashev: goal (wrist)Rasmus Andersson: missed the netBrett Howden: saved (snap)Mitch Marner: saved (snap)Brett Howden: saved (snap)Victor Olofsson: saved (wrist)Ivan Barbashev: goal (wrist)Dylan Coghlan: saved (slap)Tomas Hertl: missed the netVictor Olofsson: saved (tip-in)Brett Howden: saved (snap)Trevor Connelly: saved (wrist)Marc Gatcomb: saved (wrist)Nic Dowd: saved (wrist)Brayden McNabb: saved (slap)Parker Wotherspoon: saved (wrist)Victor Olofsson: saved (deflected)Victor Olofsson: saved (backhand)Brett Howden: goal (tip-in)Jeremy Lauzon: missed the netBrett Howden: missed the netIvan Barbashev: missed the netBraeden Bowman: saved (wrist)Ivan Barbashev: missed the netVictor Olofsson: missed the net
  • 5Goals12% of attempts
  • 23Saved53% of attempts
  • 15Missed the net35% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

UTA skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Jack McBain C 123+226114:21
Lawson Crouse L 112014014:20
Andrew Peeke D 022000017:24
Dmitri Simashev D 101+111016:50
Clayton Keller R 011+140021:24
Mikhail Sergachev D 000041324:09
MacKenzie Weegar D 000-103121:36
Vincent Trocheck C 000+210019:22
Nick DeSimone D 000+101018:44
Kailer Yamamoto R 000-101117:21
Anders Lee L 000-112116:27
Artem Duda D 000-101016:09
Barrett Hayton C 000-210015:09
Michael Carcone L 000000114:22
Kevin Stenlund C 000010014:00
Daniil But L 000-110012:36
Liam O'Brien C 000007208:52
Nick Schmaltz C 000000007:19
UTA goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Sebastian Cossa — 232882.1558:23
VGK skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Victor Olofsson L 123+160016:38
Mitch Marner R 033030018:25
Ivan Barbashev L 202+121013:34
Jack Eichel C 112010021:27
Brett Howden C 101042013:55
Shea Theodore D 011+101122:15
Mark Stone R 011000119:38
Tomas Hertl C 011+111017:14
William Karlsson C 011000015:02
Brayden McNabb D 000022323:54
Jeremy Lauzon D 000-103017:36
Rasmus Andersson D 000-200117:16
Parker Wotherspoon D 000+121015:31
Trevor Connelly L 000021214:55
Dylan Coghlan D 000+122014:02
Braeden Bowman R 000-111112:00
Marc Gatcomb C 000-115010:16
Nic Dowd C 000-113110:02
VGK goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Carter Hart — 141782.4359:08

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series UTA 0 – 1 VGK
Last 10 meetings · since 2025-26 UTA 4 – 6 VGK
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Utah Mammoth 10-8-1 L3 L10 4-5-1 Next game: vs STL · Thu, Nov 12
Vegas Golden Knights 13-5-2 W4 L10 5-3-2 Next game: vs NSH · Fri, Nov 13

🔍 Key Suspects Results

7 of 13 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

UTA — Away
Mikhail Sergachev Mikhail Sergachev D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 4
Clayton Keller Clayton Keller RW Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Anders Lee Anders Lee LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Nick Schmaltz Nick Schmaltz C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
VGK — Home
Mitch Marner Mitch Marner RW Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
Trevor Connelly Trevor Connelly LW Goals · FanDuel 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Brayden McNabb Brayden McNabb D Assists · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Tomas Hertl Tomas Hertl C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Victor Olofsson Victor Olofsson LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
Jack Eichel Jack Eichel C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Brett Howden Brett Howden C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4
William Karlsson William Karlsson C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Shea Theodore Shea Theodore D Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1

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