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MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
STL

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals

June 24, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
ARI 86-76  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 9, STL 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 61%
Projected Score STL 7 ยท ARI 5
Blowout Probability 7%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL ARI SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away LHP
Mitch Bratt
Mitch Bratt
ERA4.70
WHIP1.52
FIP5.05
K/96.1
K/BB0.6
Road ERA: 6.23
vs
STL โ€” Home LHP
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
ERA5.23
WHIP1.47
FIP4.53
K/98.9
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 5.66

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte DH
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  4. 4 Gabriel Moreno C
  5. 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
  6. 6 Tommy Troy CF
  7. 7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  8. 8 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
  9. 9 LuJames Groover 1B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Jordan Walker RF
  4. 4 Nelson Velazquez LF
  5. 5 Jose Fermin 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Lars Nootbaar CF
  8. 8 Blaze Jordan 1B
  9. 8 Bryan Torres 2B
  10. 9 Pedro Pages C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.706 0.679
Bullpen FIP 3.95 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 -0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI -4.5 (-169)
STL +4.5 (+129)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+107)
Under 11.5 (-139)
Moneyline
ARI -10000
STL +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away
Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo SS
Singles
0.5
72 ยท OVER
Ketel Marte Ketel Marte DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 2B
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
61 ยท OVER
STL โ€” Home
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 2B
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera DH
Runs
1.5
62 ยท UNDER
Jose Fermin Jose Fermin 3B
Singles
0.5
60 ยท OVER
Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar CF
Runs
2.5
55 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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