โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
DET

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

July 29, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 10, DET 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Detroit Tigers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score DET 11 ยท BAL 9
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 1.98 vs 2.90) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs BAL lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL DET SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Line move (39pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away LHP
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.03
WHIP1.19
FIP3.40
K/98.4
K/BB6.3
Road ERA: 4.46
vs
DET โ€” Home LHP
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
ERA2.72
WHIP0.96
FIP2.41
K/910.6
K/BB9.0
Home ERA: 3.82

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Pete Alonso 1B
  3. 3 Gunnar Henderson SS
  4. 4 Tyler O'Neill RF
  5. 5 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
  6. 6 Coby Mayo DH
  7. 7 Leody Taveras CF
  8. 8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  9. 9 Chadwick Tromp C
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Gleyber Torres 2B
  2. 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
  3. 3 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
  4. 4 Dillon Dingler C
  5. 5 Riley Greene LF
  6. 6 Eduardo Valencia DH
  7. 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  8. 8 Matt Vierling RF
  9. 9 Javier Baez CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.681 0.764
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.74
Run Diff / 10G -0.7 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -1.5 (+980)
DET +1.5 (-3400)
Total (O/U)
Over 19.5 (+307)
Under 19.5 (-451)
Moneyline
BAL -524
DET +346

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 3 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Trevor Rogers Trevor Rogers SP
Outs
17.5
57 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home
Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 2B
Singles
0.5
62 ยท OVER
Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle SS
Singles
0.5
59 ยท OVER
Tarik Skubal Tarik Skubal SP
Outs
17.5
57 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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