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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
COL

Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies

June 23, 2026 ยท 8:40 PM ET ยท Coors Field
BOS 87-75  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 5, COL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท COL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.69 vs 6.09, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS COL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 11.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Road ERA: 2.35
vs
COL โ€” Home LHP
Sean Sullivan
ERA8.87
WHIP2.02
FIP6.09
K/96.5
K/BB2.0

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Nate Eaton LF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran DH
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Andruw Monasterio SS
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Anthony Seigler 2B
COL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jake McCarthy CF
  2. 2 Mickey Moniak LF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman C
  4. 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
  5. 5 Tyler Freeman RF
  6. 6 Willi Castro 3B
  7. 7 Troy Johnston DH
  8. 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  9. 9 Edouard Julien 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.733
Bullpen FIP 3.55 5.45
Run Diff / 10G +0.6 +1.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -3.5 (-231)
COL +3.5 (+173)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+127)
Under 7.5 (-166)
Moneyline
BOS -10000
COL +1400

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Outs
17.5
63 ยท OVER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท UNDER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Singles
0.5
52 ยท OVER
COL โ€” Home
TJ Rumfield TJ Rumfield 1B
Singles
0.5
68 ยท OVER
Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy CF
Singles
0.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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