โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
OAK

Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics

July 29, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท Sutter Health Park
BOS 87-75  ยท  OAK 64-98

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 4, OAK 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท OAK 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

OAK Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
OAK Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.69 vs 4.56) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS OAK SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
OAK BOS SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
OAK BOS SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
Patrick Sandoval
Patrick Sandoval
ERA5.12
WHIP1.68
FIP3.68
K/99.4
K/BB5.3
Road ERA: 5.93
vs
OAK โ€” Home LHP
Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ERA5.47
WHIP1.49
FIP5.12
K/98.2
K/BB3.9
Home ERA: 5.38

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jahmai Jones LF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Caleb Durbin 3B
  6. 6 Romy Gonzalez DH
  7. 7 Andruw Monasterio SS
  8. 8 Nick Sogard 2B
  9. 9 Connor Wong C
OAK โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jacob Wilson SS
  2. 2 Nick Kurtz 1B
  3. 3 Tommy White 3B
  4. 4 Tyler Soderstrom LF
  5. 5 Jonah Heim C
  6. 6 Colby Thomas DH
  7. 7 Henry Bolte CF
  8. 8 Lawrence Butler RF
  9. 9 Alika Williams 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away OAK Home
Team OPS 0.715 0.710
Bullpen FIP 3.55 5.39
Run Diff / 10G +0.8 -0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (-247)
OAK +1.5 (+184)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (-140)
Under 6.5 (+107)
Moneyline
BOS -2600
OAK +880

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Nick Sogard Nick Sogard 2B
Singles
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
61 ยท OVER
OAK โ€” Home
Henry Bolte Henry Bolte CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
72 ยท OVER
Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Tommy White Tommy White 3B
Singles
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Jacob Lopez Jacob Lopez SP
Outs
15.5
53 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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