โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHC vs
NYM

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

June 24, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
CHC 89-73  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: CHC 10, NYM 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 52%
Projected Score NYM 8 ยท CHC 6
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott, Jared Young) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 4.16 vs 5.59) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC NYM SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 7.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Recent run diff (+4.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 4.46 H vs 5.49 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHC โ€” Away LHP
Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga
ERA3.77
WHIP1.10
FIP4.35
K/99.0
K/BB7.1
Road ERA: 3.82
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
ERA4.78
WHIP1.30
FIP4.23
K/98.6
K/BB6.0
Home ERA: 4.46

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHC โ€” Away
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Matt Shaw LF
  3. 3 Seiya Suzuki RF
  4. 4 Alex Bregman 3B
  5. 5 Michael Busch 1B
  6. 6 Nico Hoerner 2B
  7. 7 Carson Kelly C
  8. 8 Pedro Ramirez DH
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson SS
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge LF
  2. 2 Francisco Lindor SS
  3. 3 Bo Bichette 3B
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Marcus Semien 2B
  6. 6 Francisco Alvarez C
  7. 7 Eric Wagaman DH
  8. 8 A.J. Ewing CF
  9. 9 Brett Baty RF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHC Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.765 0.685
Bullpen FIP 5.34 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +2.6 -1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHC -2.5 (-496)
NYM +2.5 (+331)
Total (O/U)
Over 13.5 (+130)
Under 13.5 (-171)
Moneyline
CHC -10000
NYM +1360

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHC โ€” Away
Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 2B
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki RF
Singles
0.5
59 ยท OVER
Michael Busch Michael Busch 1B
Singles
0.5
58 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Carson Benge Carson Benge LF
Singles
0.5
70 ยท OVER
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 3B
Singles
0.5
58 ยท OVER
Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
53 ยท OVER
Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
52 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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