โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHC vs
NYM

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

June 25, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
CHC 89-73  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: CHC 4, NYM 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago Cubs
Confidence 64%
Projected Score CHC 5 ยท NYM 3
Blowout Probability 9%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC SP quality edge (FIP 3.17 vs 4.32) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM CHC SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 7.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Recent run diff (+5.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Line move (38pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHC โ€” Away LHP
Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
ERA3.91
WHIP1.21
FIP4.05
K/96.8
K/BB4.1
Road ERA: 2.89
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Home ERA: 1.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHC โ€” Away
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Michael Conforto RF
  3. 3 Michael Busch 1B
  4. 4 Alex Bregman 3B
  5. 5 Ian Happ LF
  6. 6 Nico Hoerner 2B
  7. 7 Pedro Ramirez DH
  8. 8 Miguel Amaya C
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson SS
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette 3B
  3. 3 Juan Soto DH
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Francisco Alvarez C
  6. 6 A.J. Ewing CF
  7. 7 Ronny Mauricio SS
  8. 8 MJ Melendez LF
  9. 9 Brett Baty 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHC Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.761 0.721
Bullpen FIP 5.34 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +2.8 -2.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHC -1.5 (+1400)
NYM +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+372)
Under 7.5 (-577)
Moneyline
CHC -1160
NYM +593

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHC โ€” Away
Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
Hits
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
Michael Busch Michael Busch 1B
Hits
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 2B
Hits
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Michael Conforto Michael Conforto RF
Hits
1.5
67 ยท UNDER
NYM โ€” Home
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 3B
Hits
1.5
79 ยท UNDER
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Hits
1.5
78 ยท OVER
Juan Soto Juan Soto DH
Hits
1.5
77 ยท UNDER
Brett Baty Brett Baty 2B
Hits
1.5
68 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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