โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHW vs
NYY

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees

June 16, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
CHW 84-78  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: CHW 2, NYY 12 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago White Sox
Confidence 53%
Projected Score CHW 6 ยท NYY 5
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW SP quality edge (FIP 3.00 vs 3.75, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+0.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY CHW SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHW โ€” Away RHP
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
ERA3.95
WHIP1.31
FIP3.62
K/97.5
K/BB4.7
Road ERA: 5.08
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Home ERA: 3.92

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHW โ€” Away
  1. 1 Sam Antonacci LF
  2. 2 Miguel Vargas 3B
  3. 3 Andrew Benintendi DH
  4. 4 Colson Montgomery SS
  5. 5 Braden Montgomery RF
  6. 6 Chase Meidroth 2B
  7. 7 Jacob Gonzalez 1B
  8. 8 Tristan Peters CF
  9. 9 Drew Romo C
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ben Rice 1B
  2. 2 Cody Bellinger LF
  3. 3 Paul Goldschmidt DH
  4. 4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  5. 5 Spencer Jones CF
  6. 6 Jose Caballero RF
  7. 7 Ryan McMahon 3B
  8. 8 J.C. Escarra C
  9. 9 Anthony Volpe SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHW Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.704
Bullpen FIP 4.03 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +0.7 +1.4
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 3 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHW +4.5 (+101)
NYY -4.5 (-132)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (-126)
Under 10.5 (-103)
Moneyline
CHW +1160
NYY -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHW โ€” Away

No data yet.

NYY โ€” Home
Gerrit Cole Gerrit Cole SP
Outs
17.5
52 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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