โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

June 3, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
CLE 85-77  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: CLE 5, NYY 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 60%
Projected Score NYY 6 ยท CLE 4
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE K edge vs NYY lineup (12.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+4.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY CLE SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CLE โ€” Away RHP
ERA3.76
WHIP1.11
FIP3.38
K/912.1
K/BB9.1
Road ERA: 5.13
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Home ERA: 3.92

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CLE Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.713
Bullpen FIP 3.99 4.52
Run Diff / 10G -1.7 +2.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CLE -1.5 (-131)
NYY +1.5 (+101)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+1120)
Under 9.5 (-5500)
Moneyline
CLE -10000
NYY +1380

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CLE โ€” Away
Gavin Williams Gavin Williams SP
Pitcher Ks
6.5
57 ยท OVER
NYY โ€” Home
Gerrit Cole Gerrit Cole SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.