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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
ARI

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

May 21, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท Chase Field
COL 58-104  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: COL 1, ARI 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ARI 3 ยท COL 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP quality edge (FIP 3.75 vs 4.41) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL ARI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 7.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+4.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL ARI SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RHP
Zach Agnos
Zach Agnos
ERA5.93
WHIP1.50
FIP4.41
K/95.7
K/BB2.3
vs
ARI โ€” Home LHP
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA2.89
WHIP1.24
FIP3.88
K/96.8
K/BB3.9
Home ERA: 3.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Willi Castro 1B
  2. 2 Tyler Freeman RF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman C
  4. 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  5. 5 Kyle Karros 3B
  6. 6 Jake McCarthy CF
  7. 7 Braxton Fulford DH
  8. 8 Troy Johnston LF
  9. 9 Chad Stevens 2B
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
  6. 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  7. 7 Gabriel Moreno C
  8. 8 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.654 0.715
Bullpen FIP 5.45 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -2.5 +2.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL -1.5 (+385)
ARI +1.5 (-610)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+104)
Under 3.5 (-136)
Moneyline
COL +159
ARI -213

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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