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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
PIT

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

May 14, 2026 ยท 12:35 PM ET ยท PNC Park
COL 58-104  ยท  PIT 82-80

๐Ÿ Final: COL 2, PIT 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PIT 7 ยท COL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PIT Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 2.31 vs 4.15) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Defensive edge (dWAR 2.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT K edge vs COL lineup (13.9 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL K edge vs PIT lineup (9.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Recent run diff (+2.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RightHP
Chase Dollander
Chase Dollander
ERA3.89
WHIP1.29
FIP3.96
K/99.6
K/BB5.9
vs
PIT โ€” Home LHP
Mason Montgomery
Mason Montgomery
ERA2.88
WHIP1.03
FIP2.31
K/913.9
K/BB10.4

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jordan Beck LF
  2. 2 Brenton Doyle CF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman C
  4. 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
  5. 5 Willi Castro 3B
  6. 6 Mickey Moniak DH
  7. 7 Troy Johnston RF
  8. 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  9. 9 Edouard Julien 2B
PIT โ€” Home
  1. 1 Oneil Cruz CF
  2. 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  4. 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
  5. 5 Konnor Griffin SS
  6. 6 Spencer Horwitz 1B
  7. 7 Marcell Ozuna DH
  8. 8 Endy Rodriguez C
  9. 9 Jared Triolo 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away PIT Home
Team OPS 0.705 0.748
Bullpen FIP 5.45 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -2.2 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL +4.5 (+104)
PIT -4.5 (-136)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-103)
Under 11.5 (-126)
Moneyline
COL +1340
PIT -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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