โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
ATL

Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves

April 28, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Truist Park
DET 76-86  ยท  ATL 94-68

๐Ÿ Final: DET 2, ATL 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Atlanta Braves
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ATL 3 ยท DET 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ATL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries ATL (Martin Perez, Tyler Mahle) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.45 vs 4.21) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Recent run diff (+2.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away RHP
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
ERA4.32
WHIP1.23
FIP4.08
K/97.6
K/BB4.9
Road ERA: 6.23
vs
ATL โ€” Home LHP
Martin Perez
Martin Perez
ERA3.04
WHIP1.27
FIP4.25
K/96.5
K/BB2.5
Home ERA: 1.08

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jahmai Jones DH
  2. 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
  3. 3 Kevin McGonigle SS
  4. 4 Matt Vierling RF
  5. 5 Dillon Dingler C
  6. 6 Riley Greene LF
  7. 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  8. 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
  9. 9 Javier Baez CF
ATL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ronald Acuna Jr. RF
  2. 2 Drake Baldwin C
  3. 3 Matt Olson 1B
  4. 4 Ozzie Albies 2B
  5. 5 Michael Harris II CF
  6. 6 Austin Riley 3B
  7. 7 Dominic Smith DH
  8. 8 Mauricio Dubon SS
  9. 9 Mike Yastrzemski LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away ATL Home
Team OPS 0.725 0.743
Bullpen FIP 4.74 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -0.3 +2.1
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET +2.5 (+195)
ATL -2.5 (-264)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (-134)
Under 3.5 (+103)
Moneyline
DET +1040
ATL -4100

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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