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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
NYM

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

May 30, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
MIA 80-82  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 1, NYM 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท MIA 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 2.83 vs 5.30) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM MIA SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips
ERA3.34
WHIP1.33
FIP4.58
K/97.2
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 4.89
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
ERA3.85
WHIP1.27
FIP3.36
K/911.0
K/BB7.1
Home ERA: 4.02

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Xavier Edwards 2B
  2. 2 Liam Hicks DH
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers LF
  5. 5 Jakob Marsee CF
  6. 6 Leo Jimenez 3B
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Christopher Morel 1B
  9. 9 Joe Mack C
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette 3B
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Jared Young DH
  5. 5 Mark Vientos 1B
  6. 6 A.J. Ewing CF
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Vidal Brujan SS
  9. 9 Hayden Senger C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.693 0.731
Bullpen FIP 3.97 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -1.4 -2.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA +3.5 (+123)
NYM -3.5 (-161)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-143)
Under 8.5 (+110)
Moneyline
MIA +1140
NYM -6200

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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