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MLB Matchup Intelligence

SD vs
WSH

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals

May 30, 2026 ยท 4:05 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
SD 91-71  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: SD 4, WSH 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score WSH 8 ยท SD 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD SP quality edge (FIP 3.64 vs 4.02) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+2.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP home venue edge (ERA 4.68 H vs 5.97 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SD โ€” Away RHP
Michael King
Michael King
ERA3.21
WHIP1.18
FIP3.92
K/97.7
K/BB4.3
Road ERA: 3.71
vs
WSH โ€” Home LHP
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
ERA3.60
WHIP1.21
FIP3.79
K/98.3
K/BB5.9
Home ERA: 4.68

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SD โ€” Away
  1. 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  2. 2 Gavin Sheets LF
  3. 3 Miguel Andujar DH
  4. 4 Manny Machado 3B
  5. 5 Jackson Merrill CF
  6. 6 Xander Bogaerts SS
  7. 7 Ty France 1B
  8. 8 Ramon Laureano RF
  9. 9 Rodolfo Duran C
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Daylen Lile LF
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Jose Tena DH
  6. 6 Jorbit Vivas 3B
  7. 7 Dylan Crews CF
  8. 8 Drew Millas C
  9. 9 Nasim Nunez 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SD Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.716 0.705
Bullpen FIP 3.44 5.88
Run Diff / 10G -0.6 +1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SD +2.5 (+109)
WSH -2.5 (-142)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (+124)
Under 12.5 (-162)
Moneyline
SD +536
WSH -970

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SD โ€” Away
Michael King Michael King SP
Outs
16.5
60 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home

No data yet.

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