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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
STL

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

June 28, 2026 ยท 2:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIA 80-82  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 1, STL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 69%
Projected Score STL 3 ยท MIA 1
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.12 vs 4.86) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 4.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+4.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL MIA SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Line move (33pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips
ERA3.34
WHIP1.33
FIP4.58
K/97.2
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 4.89
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
ERA3.66
WHIP1.34
FIP3.49
K/98.5
K/BB5.9
Home ERA: 3.44

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Otto Lopez SS
  3. 3 Kyle Stowers DH
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  6. 6 Griffin Conine 1B
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Graham Pauley 3B
  9. 9 Brian Navarreto C
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Lars Nootbaar RF
  5. 5 Masyn Winn SS
  6. 6 Bryan Torres LF
  7. 7 Blaze Jordan 3B
  8. 8 Nathan Church CF
  9. 9 Pedro Pages C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.682
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +1.8 -2.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA -1.5 (+1120)
STL +1.5 (-5600)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+302)
Under 3.5 (-441)
Moneyline
MIA +561
STL -1060

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 3 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIA โ€” Away
Otto Lopez Otto Lopez SS
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 2B
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Griffin Conine Griffin Conine 1B
Singles
0.5
57 ยท OVER
STL โ€” Home
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 2B
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar RF
Singles
0.5
52 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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