โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
NYM

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

August 27, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
MIL 86-53  ยท  NYM 62-77

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 8, NYM 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIL 7 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 2.22 vs 4.61) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM MIL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL K edge vs NYM lineup (13.2 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+4.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 4.58 H vs 5.35 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
ERA1.73
WHIP0.76
FIP1.97
K/913.2
K/BB11.1
Road ERA: 1.87
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
ERA4.55
WHIP1.32
FIP4.25
K/98.8
K/BB5.9
Home ERA: 4.58

๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ Ballpark Weather

Wind9 mph (light)
Directionblowing out to center
Temp73ยฐF
Run Env: HIGH โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜† Hitter Friendly
๐Ÿ’จ Wind blowing out toward the outfield could favor extra power tonight.
Humidity 93% Gusts 21 mph Cloud 74% Rain Chance 43% Pressure 1015 hPa

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jackson Chourio LF
  2. 2 Luis Lara CF
  3. 3 William Contreras DH
  4. 4 Andrew Vaughn 1B
  5. 5 Gary Sanchez C
  6. 6 Joey Ortiz 3B
  7. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  8. 8 Cooper Pratt SS
  9. 9 David Hamilton 2B
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 A.J. Ewing CF
  2. 2 Francisco Lindor SS
  3. 3 Carson Benge RF
  4. 4 Luis Robert Jr. LF
  5. 5 Jared Young 1B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  8. 8 Christopher Morel DH
  9. 9 Francisco Alvarez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.734 0.672
Bullpen FIP 3.66 4.29
Run Diff / 10G +3.8 -0.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -5.5 (-451)
NYM +5.5 (+307)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+307)
Under 10.5 (-451)
Moneyline
MIL -7500
NYM +2200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio LF
Singles
0.5
81 ยท OVER
Luis Lara Luis Lara CF
Singles
0.5
79 ยท OVER
William Contreras William Contreras DH
Hits
1.5
78 ยท OVER
Andrew Vaughn Andrew Vaughn 1B
Singles
0.5
76 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Hits
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
Luis Robert Jr. Luis Robert Jr. LF
Hits
1.5
64 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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