โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
STL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

July 6, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIL 103-59  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 4, STL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 51%
Projected Score MIL 5 ยท STL 3
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 2.75 vs 3.73) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL STL SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away LHP
Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
ERA4.19
WHIP1.32
FIP3.62
K/99.1
K/BB5.9
Road ERA: 5.28
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Dustin May
Dustin May
ERA4.70
WHIP1.32
FIP3.40
K/98.9
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 5.12

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Christian Yelich DH
  2. 2 Jackson Chourio LF
  3. 3 Brice Turang 2B
  4. 4 William Contreras C
  5. 5 Jake Bauers 1B
  6. 6 Garrett Mitchell CF
  7. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  8. 8 Cooper Pratt SS
  9. 9 David Hamilton 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Jordan Walker RF
  4. 4 Nelson Velazquez LF
  5. 5 Jose Fermin 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Blaze Jordan 1B
  9. 9 Pedro Pages C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.748 0.676
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 +0.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -1.5 (+1140)
STL +1.5 (-6200)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+960)
Under 7.5 (-4800)
Moneyline
MIL -5200
STL +1100

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
William Contreras William Contreras C
Hits
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
Brice Turang Brice Turang 2B
Hits
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio LF
Hits
1.5
67 ยท UNDER
Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 1B
Hits
1.5
62 ยท UNDER
STL โ€” Home
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera DH
Hits
1.5
64 ยท UNDER
Jose Fermin Jose Fermin 3B
Hits
1.5
63 ยท UNDER
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 2B
Hits
1.5
61 ยท UNDER
Nathan Church Nathan Church CF
Hits
1.5
50 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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