โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

June 7, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Petco Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  SD 91-71

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 7, SD 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† San Diego Padres
Confidence 57%
Projected Score SD 6 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 4%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

SD Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD SP quality edge (FIP 4.64 vs 5.29, PF 0.91) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+3.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
ERA2.96
WHIP1.09
FIP3.70
K/97.5
K/BB3.6
vs
SD โ€” Home RHP
ERA3.90
WHIP1.26
FIP4.13
K/95.6
K/BB3.2
Home ERA: 3.95

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away SD Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.708
Bullpen FIP 4.39 3.44
Run Diff / 10G +1.7 -1.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -3.5 (-228)
SD +3.5 (+170)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+104)
Under 9.5 (-136)
Moneyline
NYM -10000
SD +1400

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.