โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
TOR

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

June 29, 2026 ยท 7:07 PM ET ยท Rogers Centre
NYM 74-88  ยท  TOR 79-83

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 1, TOR 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 58%
Projected Score NYM 3 ยท TOR 1
Blowout Probability 5%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TOR Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.64 vs 5.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR NYM SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Defensive edge (dWAR 3.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away LHP
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
ERA4.78
WHIP1.30
FIP4.23
K/98.6
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 5.49
vs
TOR โ€” Home RHP
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
ERA3.69
WHIP1.14
FIP4.16
K/99.0
K/BB4.6
Home ERA: 4.41

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Juan Soto LF
  3. 3 Bo Bichette 3B
  4. 4 Francisco Lindor SS
  5. 5 Jared Young 1B
  6. 6 A.J. Ewing CF
  7. 7 Mark Vientos DH
  8. 8 Brett Baty 2B
  9. 9 Francisco Alvarez C
TOR โ€” Home
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Nathan Lukes RF
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  5. 5 Ernie Clement SS
  6. 6 Brandon Valenzuela C
  7. 7 Luis Urias 2B
  8. 8 Yohendrick Pinango LF
  9. 9 Myles Straw CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away TOR Home
Team OPS 0.736 0.709
Bullpen FIP 4.39 4.49
Run Diff / 10G -2.8 -1.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (+1420)
TOR +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+569)
Under 3.5 (-1080)
Moneyline
NYM +860
TOR -2500

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
79 ยท OVER
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Brett Baty Brett Baty 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
74 ยท OVER
TOR โ€” Home
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
79 ยท OVER
Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
78 ยท OVER
George Springer George Springer DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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