โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
WSH

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

May 21, 2026 ยท 4:05 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 2, WSH 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 3 ยท WSH 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott, Jared Young) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP quality edge (FIP 2.83 vs 3.49) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH K edge vs NYM lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+1.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP road mastery (ERA 2.60 R vs 5.45 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away LHP
David Peterson
David Peterson
ERA4.79
WHIP1.50
FIP3.88
K/98.3
K/BB4.4
Road ERA: 2.60
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
ERA3.02
WHIP1.16
FIP2.97
K/910.6
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 3.29

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Brett Baty 3B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 A.J. Ewing CF
  8. 8 MJ Melendez DH
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood LF
  2. 2 Curtis Mead 3B
  3. 3 Andres Chaparro 1B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Dylan Crews RF
  6. 6 Daylen Lile DH
  7. 7 Jacob Young CF
  8. 8 Nasim Nunez 2B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.762
Bullpen FIP 4.39 5.88
Run Diff / 10G +1.3 -0.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (+1320)
WSH +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+355)
Under 3.5 (-542)
Moneyline
NYM -1160
WSH +596

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away

No data yet.

WSH โ€” Home
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
67 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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