โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
DET

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers

June 23, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 4, DET 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Detroit Tigers
Confidence 58%
Projected Score DET 5 ยท NYY 3
Blowout Probability 5%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.19 vs 3.46) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY K edge vs DET lineup (9.7 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY DET SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away LHP
Carlos Rodon
Carlos Rodon
ERA2.67
WHIP1.05
FIP3.37
K/99.7
K/BB5.7
Road ERA: 3.24
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
ERA4.32
WHIP1.23
FIP4.08
K/97.6
K/BB4.9
Home ERA: 9.26

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ben Rice DH
  2. 2 Jasson Dominguez RF
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger LF
  4. 4 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Spencer Jones CF
  7. 7 Jose Caballero 3B
  8. 8 Austin Wells C
  9. 9 Anthony Volpe SS
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle 3B
  2. 2 Dillon Dingler C
  3. 3 Matt Vierling CF
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  6. 6 Jahmai Jones DH
  7. 7 Hao-Yu Lee 2B
  8. 8 Zach McKinstry SS
  9. 9 Ben Malgeri RF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.717 0.724
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.74
Run Diff / 10G +0.7 +1.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (+790)
DET +1.5 (-2000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+730)
Under 7.5 (-1680)
Moneyline
NYY -4000
DET +1020

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Singles
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Runs
1.5
61 ยท UNDER
Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero 3B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home
Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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