โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
TB

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

July 6, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 5, TB 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 52%
Projected Score TB 4 ยท NYY 2
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.22 vs 3.63, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 3.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+6.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP road mastery (ERA 1.18 R vs 3.04 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.95
WHIP0.92
FIP2.46
K/911.1
K/BB8.9
Road ERA: 1.18
vs
TB โ€” Home RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Home ERA: 2.91

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jasson Dominguez RF
  6. 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  7. 7 Jose Caballero SS
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Cedric Mullins CF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca RF
  6. 6 Chandler Simpson LF
  7. 7 Nick Fortes C
  8. 8 Richie Palacios 2B
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.724
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -3.5 +3.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -2.5 (-337)
TB +2.5 (+241)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (-107)
Under 5.5 (-121)
Moneyline
NYY -9300
TB +1240

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
78 ยท UNDER
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
3.5
73 ยท UNDER
Austin Wells Austin Wells C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
TB โ€” Home
Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
69 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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