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MLB Matchup Intelligence

SD vs
BAL

San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles

June 14, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
SD 91-71  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: SD 5, BAL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 62%
Projected Score BAL 5 ยท SD 3
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD SP quality edge (FIP 3.71 vs 4.20) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.63 H vs 4.46 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SD โ€” Away RHP
Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
ERA4.63
WHIP1.35
FIP4.37
K/97.7
K/BB4.3
Road ERA: 5.34
vs
BAL โ€” Home LHP
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.03
WHIP1.19
FIP3.40
K/98.4
K/BB6.3
Home ERA: 3.63

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SD โ€” Away
  1. 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  2. 2 Jackson Merrill CF
  3. 3 Manny Machado 3B
  4. 4 Xander Bogaerts SS
  5. 5 Gavin Sheets 1B
  6. 6 Samad Taylor LF
  7. 7 Nick Solak DH
  8. 8 Jase Bowen RF
  9. 9 Rodolfo Duran C
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman DH
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo C
  6. 6 Leody Taveras RF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser CF
  8. 8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SD Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.679 0.712
Bullpen FIP 3.44 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -0.6 +1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SD -2.5 (-142)
BAL +2.5 (+109)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+118)
Under 7.5 (-154)
Moneyline
SD -10000
BAL +1380

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SD โ€” Away
Walker Buehler Walker Buehler SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
56 ยท OVER
BAL โ€” Home
Trevor Rogers Trevor Rogers SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
59 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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