โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SD vs
MIL

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers

May 14, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท American Family Field
SD 91-71  ยท  MIL 103-59

๐Ÿ Final: SD 1, MIL 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIL 7 ยท SD 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 3.24 vs 4.59) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 7.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+1.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP home venue edge (ERA 1.28 H vs 7.92 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SD โ€” Away RHP
Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
ERA5.68
WHIP1.52
FIP4.59
K/98.9
K/BB4.7
vs
MIL โ€” Home LHP
Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison
ERA4.20
WHIP1.35
FIP3.85
K/911.0
K/BB8.2
Home ERA: 1.28

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SD โ€” Away
  1. 1 Xander Bogaerts SS
  2. 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  3. 3 Manny Machado 3B
  4. 4 Miguel Andujar DH
  5. 5 Gavin Sheets 1B
  6. 6 Ramon Laureano LF
  7. 7 Nick Castellanos RF
  8. 8 Freddy Fermin C
  9. 9 Bryce Johnson CF
MIL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jackson Chourio LF
  2. 2 Brice Turang 2B
  3. 3 William Contreras DH
  4. 4 Gary Sanchez C
  5. 5 Andrew Vaughn 1B
  6. 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
  7. 7 Garrett Mitchell CF
  8. 8 Sal Frelick RF
  9. 9 David Hamilton SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SD Away MIL Home
Team OPS 0.657 0.743
Bullpen FIP 3.44 3.68
Run Diff / 10G +0.5 +1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 4 5

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SD +5.5 (-109)
MIL -5.5 (-119)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-104)
Under 11.5 (-124)
Moneyline
SD +1100
MIL -5400

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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