โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
HOU

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

May 14, 2026 ยท 2:10 PM ET ยท Daikin Park
SEA 76-86  ยท  HOU 81-81

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 8, HOU 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Seattle Mariners
Confidence 72%
Projected Score SEA 8 ยท HOU 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

HOU Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Key injuries HOU (Daulton Varsho, Cristian Javier, Ethan Pecko) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Recent run diff (+2.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA HOU SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
ERA5.85
WHIP1.49
FIP4.89
K/97.7
K/BB4.7
vs
HOU โ€” Home RightHP
Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
ERA5.99
WHIP1.55
FIP5.52
K/97.2
K/BB3.8
Home ERA: 7.50

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Brendan Donovan 3B
  2. 2 Julio Rodriguez DH
  3. 3 Josh Naylor 1B
  4. 4 Randy Arozarena LF
  5. 5 Luke Raley CF
  6. 6 J.P. Crawford SS
  7. 7 Dominic Canzone RF
  8. 8 Mitch Garver C
  9. 9 Cole Young 2B
HOU โ€” Home
  1. 1 Zachary Cole LF
  2. 2 Jose Altuve 2B
  3. 3 Yordan Alvarez DH
  4. 4 Isaac Paredes 3B
  5. 5 Christian Walker 1B
  6. 6 Braden Shewmake SS
  7. 7 Brice Matthews CF
  8. 8 Cam Smith RF
  9. 9 Cesar Salazar C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away HOU Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.720
Bullpen FIP 4.56 4.20
Run Diff / 10G +0.6 -1.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -4.5 (-106)
HOU +4.5 (-123)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (-119)
Under 12.5 (-109)
Moneyline
SEA -10000
HOU +1320

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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