โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SF vs
TB

San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays

May 2, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
SF 65-97  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: SF 1, TB 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 4 ยท SF 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SF Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries SF (Bryce Eldridge) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SF SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 5.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SF Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SF โ€” Away RHP
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp
ERA4.01
WHIP1.30
FIP3.63
K/98.3
K/BB3.9
Road ERA: 4.39
vs
TB โ€” Home RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Home ERA: 2.91

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SF โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jung Hoo Lee RF
  2. 2 Luis Arraez 2B
  3. 3 Casey Schmitt DH
  4. 4 Rafael Devers 1B
  5. 5 Matt Chapman 3B
  6. 6 Willy Adames SS
  7. 7 Heliot Ramos LF
  8. 8 Drew Gilbert CF
  9. 9 Patrick Bailey C
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Cedric Mullins CF
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  5. 5 Jake Fraley DH
  6. 6 Richie Palacios 2B
  7. 7 Jonny DeLuca RF
  8. 8 Hunter Feduccia C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SF Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.732 0.701
Bullpen FIP 4.22 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -0.8 +0.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -5 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SF +2.5 (+245)
TB -2.5 (-342)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (-109)
Under 5.5 (-119)
Moneyline
SF +1460
TB -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SF โ€” Away

No data yet.

TB โ€” Home
Griffin Jax Griffin Jax SP
Pitcher Ks
2.5
75 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB